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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Feb 16, 2019
Blue Jackets vs Blackhawks
UNDER 6½ +117 Lost
$100.0
Play Type: Premium

ASA 9* PLAY ON UNDER: Columbus at Chicago, Saturday at 8:35 PM ET

The Blackhawks have been trending over but that is hiding the fact that Chicago has actually allowed an average of only 2.25 goals per game in its last 4 home games. .This game is likely to be more of a defensive-minded battle than many are anticipating. That's because the Blue Jackets are coming off a loss and will be hungry for a win here. Columbus is well aware of Chicago's recent goal-scoring prowess and, as a result, the Jackets will be looking to slow the pace in this one tonight. Very quietly the Blue Jackets have also been very solid in their own zone. Columbus had allowed an average of only 2 goals per game during their 4-game winning streak that preceded the 3-0 loss versus the Islanders Thursday. 4 of the last 5 games between these teams have resulted in an under and that includes a 4-1 home loss for the Blue Jackets earlier this season. Columbus is playing with revenge in this one and that is a situation this season that has resulted in only 6 overs in 22 occurrences! Bet the UNDER in Chicago Saturday evening.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 16, 2019
IUPU Ft Wayne vs Nebraska-Omaha
IUPU Ft Wayne
+3½ -103 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

ASA 8* CBB PLAY ON IPFW +3.5 over Nebraska Omaha, Saturday at 5:30 PM ET

We might see UNO come out a bit flat here.  They just won a huge home game on Thursday night beating 1st place South Dakota State by 1 point.  It was a game they trailed by 16 in the 2nd half and made a furious rally for the win.  Omaha trailed for most of the game but scored with 1 second left for the 85-84 win.  It’s going to be tough for the Mavs to come back again just 2 days later and play at their peak vs a team they already beat this year.  These two met just a few weeks ago and IPFW was a -3.5 point favorite at home.  IPFW led by 17 with 12:00 minutes remaining in the game but blew the lead and lost at home in overtime.  The Mastodons have been a solid road team this year winning 4 of their 6 Summit League road games.  They sit at 9-3 overall in conference play, just a half game behind Saturday’s opponent Nebraska Omaha who is in 2nd place at 9-2.  These two offenses are nearly dead even ranking 1st (Omaha) and 2nd (IPFW) in Summit League play.  However, Fort Wayne has the edge defensively ranking better than UNO in most of the key categories.  The underdog is 11-1 ATS in this series and we like IPFW to pull off the upset here.  Take the points.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 16, 2019
Detroit vs Green Bay
Green Bay
-4½ -108 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

ASA 8* CBB PLAY ON UW Green Bay -4.5 over Detroit, Saturday at 1:00 PM ET

This game has a number of solid situations in favor of Green Bay.  First Detroit is playing their 4th consecutive road game in just 10 days.  After getting blown out at Northern Kentucky and at Wright State, the Titans were able to pull off a small upset on Thursday night beating UW Milwaukee by 6.  The Panthers actually outplayed Detroit making 10 more field goals and outrebounding the Titans.  So how did Detroit pull off the win?  The foul disparity was ridicuously lopsided with Detroit making 31 FTs to just 7 for the home team.  You don’t often see a home team get “reverse homered” by the refs like that.  Good thing for Detroit as despite being +24 at the FT line the game vs UWM still went to the wire.  Don’t expect Detroit to get that benefit on Saturday.  That win pushed the Titans road record to 4-11 on the season with 3 of those wins coming against the 3 lowest rated teams in the Horizon League (Cleveland St, Youngstown St, and Milwaukee).  This team is simply not used to success away from home going just 9-36 SU their last 45 road games.  In their 15 road games Detroit is averaging 67 PPG (way down from their home average of 79 PPG) and shooting only 39%.  That won’t keep up here vs a UWGB team that averages 85 PPG at home having scored at least 90 points in 7 of their 11 at home (9-2 home record).  The Phoenix have been waiting patiently for this rematch.  They went to Detroit earlier in the season in a pick-em game and the Titans dominated 101-82 making over 53% of their shots.  It was by far the most points GB has given up in conference play this year and they were embarrassed by their effort on that end of the court.  They played very well defensively on Thursday holding a high scoring Oakland team (75 PPG average) to just 54 points in the 12-point Green Bay win.  We expect that to carry over here and we’re positive they’ll be very focused defensively and remember, Detroit has been poor offensively on the road this year.  Speaking of poor, when the Titans lose on the road, it’s not close as all 11 of their road losses have come by double digits.  Green Bay gets a big win on Saturday.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 16, 2019
Florida vs Alabama
Alabama
-3 -110 at 5Dimes
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

ASA 8* CBB PLAY ON Alabama -3 over Florida, Saturday at 2:00 PM ET

We’ve been successful using Alabama at home getting ATS wins vs Ole Miss & Mississippi State.  We also faded the Tide on Tuesday of this week when they traveled to Mississippi State and picked up an easy win.  That’s a perfect 3-0 ATS for us this year when we play on or against Alabama.  We expect another win on Saturday as we take the Crimson Tide at home.  They’ve been very good at Coleman Coliseum picking up home wins vs 3 of the top 5 teams on in the SEC (Kentucky, Mississippi State, and Ole Miss).  The other two teams rated in the top 5 (Tennessee & LSU) have not yet played @ Bama.  Their only home loss in SEC play was vs A&M by 1-point on a miracle 3-pointer at the buzzer by the Aggies.  We like this spot for the Tide back at home after a loss.  They shoot very well here and are averaging 80 PPG on their home court.  That’s a tough situation for a Florida team that struggles offensively, especially on the road.  In their 7 true road games, the Gators are averaging only 60 PPG while shooting a terrible 37%.  They’ve only topped 62 points one time this year on the road in SEC play.  They have won only one SEC road game and that was vs a Georgia team that is the 2nd lowest rated team in the conference.  Three of the Gators five conference wins have come vs the bottom 3 teams in the league (Georgia, Vandy, and A&M).  They are the worst in the conference at getting points inside the arc, yet they aren’t a great 3-point shooting team (33% in SEC games – 9th in the league).  They also rarely get to the FT line.  You can see why this team struggles to score.  They won’t get many extra chances either as Alabama is the much better rebounding team ranking 5th in the SEC compared to Florida who is dead last.  The Gators come in off a win over the worst team in the conference (Vandy) now facing a Bama team that is 4-1 SU following a conference loss this season.  Alabama has already beaten 3 teams at home that are better than Florida and we see no reason they don’t win this one.  Take the Crimson Tide

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 16, 2019
Arizona State vs Utah
Arizona State
+2 -115 at betonline
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

ASA 10* CBB PLAY ON Arizona State +2 over Utah, Saturday at 10 PM ET on Fox Sports 1

We’ve been on or against ASU in each of their last 2 games and cashed in on both.  We were on the Devils last Saturday when they were a home favorite over then undefeated Washington (in Pac 12 play).  ASU picked up the double digit win and cashed for us.  We then faded the Sun Devils on Wednesday when they went to Colorado and we picked up another win as the Buffs won 77-73.  We’re back on Arizona State here.  We’ve mentioned before this Sun Devil team has been all over the board.  They’ve beaten the likes of Kansas, Washington, and Mississippi State.  They’ve also lost to the likes of Washington State, Vanderbilt, and Princeton.  It seems if they are focused and motivated, they can be very good.  If not, they tend to play down to their competition.  ASU should definitely be motivated here as they are off their tight loss @ Colorado and lost earlier this year at home to Utah.  In that game the Utes pulled off the 96-86 upset as 11-point underdogs.  They shot lights out making 51% of their shots overall, 53% from beyond the arc, and 82% from the FT line.  Those numbers are all well above the Utes season averages on offense (+20 points, +6% from the field, +15% from 3, and +12% from the FT line for the game).  That was the first conference game for both teams the Utah’s best offensive performance in Pac 12 play as they put up 1.26 PPP.  That is not the norm vs Arizona State’s defense which is very solid ranking in the top 70 nationally in both defensive efficiency and eFG% defense.  Even with those lofty numbers, Utah fell behind by 17 points in the game and rallied back for a win.  It’s a loss that ASU has not forgotten and head coach Bobby Hurley stated it was a frustrating game that they had control of but let the Utes back in it.  The Devils will be ready here.  Utah sits in 2nd place in the conference with an 8-4 record yet their power rating has them as the 8th best team in the Pac 12.  Arizona State is a game behind Utah in 4th place but the Devils power rating has them as the 3rd best team in the league behind only Washington & Oregon.  Arizona State has a big edge defensively in this game with Utah ranking 253rd nationally in defensive efficiency and 229th in eFG% defense (ASU’s numbers are above).  Utah is off a big home win on Thursday night as they beat Arizona.  It was a big revenge game for them as they lost in OT at Zona.  This young Utah team (3 freshmen in the starting line up) might have trouble getting back up for this game vs a team they’ve already beaten.  The Utes don’t have a huge home court edge as that win gives them a 3-3 home record in the Pac 12.  The road team has won 4 straight in this series and we’ll make it 5 as Arizona State gets the win on Saturday night. 

SERVICE BIO

The owners of American Sports Analysts (ASAwins), Lee Kostroski & Mike Merlet, have a combined 50+ years in the industry.  Both started with Doc’s Enterprises, Lee in the late 80’s and Mike in the early 90’s.  After learning the handicapping trade from one of the best in the business, they started ASA Inc in 1997 and have been going strong ever since.  They have been known throughout the industry for their success on BIG GAMES including their 10* Midwest Game of the Year.  They have posted a winning record on Top Games in 14 of their 19 football seasons giving them the much earned reputation as the top BIG GAME HANDICAPPERS in the country.  ASA is located in Madison, WI and they have also become known for their “Midwest ties” and handicapping prowess in the heart of the country – especially the Big Ten.     

ASAwins has appeared on numerous radio shows throughout the country as special expert football guests  including Tampa, New Orleans, Madison, Milwaukee, Memphis, Las Vegas, and Denver just to name a few.  They were also featured on the ESPN website with gaming writer Chad Millman during the 2011 season. 

ASAwins handicapping methods have been developed through years of hard work and research. Rather than implementing one specific strategy as many handicappers do, they intertwine many different philosophies when it comes to making football, basketball, hockey, and baseball selections.  They utilize their massive database that goes back over 30 years and can give them in depth information on any situation you can think of when it comes to handicapping.  That’s not where they stop however.  They also research stats and film each week to evaluate the upcoming match ups on the field along with speaking with their personal contacts throughout the country (especially in the Midwest).  On top of that, they analyze each pointspread (and their movements) comparing them with their own water tight power ratings to find where an edge might be found.  So as you can see, just because a game may fall into a successful system or the scheduling looks good to go against or with a certain team, that doesn’t mean that ASA automatically uses it as a selection. It must go through their in-depth process with all things considered before they give it the ASA stamp of approval. Looking at games from all of these angles gives ASA the best of all worlds when it comes to handicapping. Their handicapping theories have proven successful over the years because they provide their customers with the one thing they look for in this industry and that is WINNING RESULTS! 

Lee & Mike at ASAwins have stood the test of time in an industry that makes it very tough to do so.  Their 50+ years of experience will give you the WINNING EDGE you need.  Sports wagering is an investment and it’s time you hire ASAwins as your stock brokers!