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Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Dec 09, 2018
Patriots vs Dolphins
UNDER 48½ -110 Lost
Play Type: Free

Don't miss ASA's NFL TRIPLE PLAY - 3 Winners for the Price of 1 - on Sunday including their 10* TOP TOTAL OF THE WEEK!

ASA NFL PLAY ON Under 48.5 Points - New England @ Miami, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET

Windy conditions are forecast in Miami on Sunday which won’t help either passing game.  Pats head coach Bill Belichick has been known for locking up the division early and then going conservative down the stretch.  Last year they averaged 30 PPG through their first 11 games and once the division was pretty much locked up, they averaged 26 PPG their last 5.  This year they have the AFC East pretty much in hand with a 3 game lead with 4 to play.  Their offense has gone run heavy over the last few weeks as Belichick goes conservative late in the season again.  The last two weeks the Pats have run the ball 75 times while passing just 63 times.  They’ve failed to top 27 points in 4 of their last 5 games.  In their last 6 trips to Miami, the Patriots have scored more than 23 points only once.  Another thing that Belichick teams have done is they get better defensively as the year goes on.  Last year this team had a horrendous start defensively but they turned it around late allowing only 13.4 PPG over their last 7 games.  It looks like they are heading in that direction again as the New England defense has given up 17 points or less in 4 of their last 5 games.  They shouldn’t have trouble keeping a bad Miami offense in check on Sunday.  The Fins are averaging just 20 PPG on the season and rank 29th in total offense at 302 YPG.  Over their last 4 games Miami has totaled 168, 294, 175, and 313 total yards.  Earlier this year vs the Patriots they scored only 7 points on 172 total yards.  We have a feeling that the Patriots goal here will be to run the ball as much as they can again and grind out a win.  Brady’s knee has been bothering him and they want to keep Gronkowski healthy heading into the playoffs.  This number is set at 48 and the Patriots have not topped 48 points since October 21st.  Miami has gone UNDER the total 4 straight games as well.  Lastly, since 2005 when two division teams match up in week 11 or later and the total is set at 45 or higher, the UNDER has cashed 62% of the time (169-104 to the under).  We like the UNDER in this division rivalry.

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Dec 09, 2018
Colts vs Texans
+4½ -105 at Bovada
Play Type: Premium

ASA NFL 8* PLAY ON Indianapolis +4.5 over Houston, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET

We love taking a team off a shutout loss this late in the NFL season, especially when it’s a team fighting for the playoffs. Nobody will want to back the Colts in this situation as last weeks results are fresh in their minds, plus they are play the Texans who have just ripped off 9 straight wins. But stop and ask yourself this, why is the line so low and it looks like an obvious bet on Houston. Let’s consider the number on this game too. Houston went to Indy in late September and were favored by 1-point which means they should be at least 9 or 10 here but Vegas set the number this low? They want you to bet Houston! The 9-3 Texans are 8th in the NFL in average margin of victory at +5.6PPG and five of their last nine wins have come by single scores. The Colts on the other hand are 6-6 SU for the year but yet have a positive differential of +3.8PPG which is the best number in the league (11th) by a team with a non-winning record. Let’s not forget the Colts had won 5 straight games prior to last week’s aberration in Jacksonville. You might be surprised to know this, but the Colts defense has flown under the radar this season but have been pretty good. Indianapolis allows just 5.7 yards per play which is slightly more than the 5.6YPPL the Texans allow. When it comes to overall defensive efficiency numbers the Colts rank 11th in the NFL while Houston is 6th so not a dramatic difference. Offensively the Colts are better than Houston when it comes to overall offensive efficiency numbers. If history tells us anything this will be a close game as 7 of the last eight meetings between these two AFC South rivals have been decided by just one score. Grab the points with Indianapolis.

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Dec 09, 2018
Panthers vs Browns
OVER 47 -117 Lost
Play Type: Top Premium

ASA NFL 10* PLAY ON Over 47 Points - Carolina @ Cleveland, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET

Both teams are coming off misleading finals last week and played in games that stayed below the posted totals. The Browns were in Houston last week and their game ended with just 42 total points. The Texans put up 29 but the Browns managed just 13. Cleveland racked up 428 total yards of offense but missed on several scoring opportunities with key turnovers. Had the Browns averaged their normal yards per point (16.3) in that game they would’ve scored 26 points. The Cleveland defense has gotten steadily worse as the year has gone on as they gave up less 20PPG average in their first three games but have now allowed over 28PPG their last seven games. Cleveland’s offense has moved the ball in their last four games with 388 yards, 427, 342 and 428 total yards. Carolina has the 27th ranked yards per points allowed defense at 13.8YPPT and is giving up 26PPG. The Panthers are coming off a deceiving game last week with just 17 points against the Bucs. Cam Newton threw 4 costly interceptions, including one in the redzone while the Bucs fumbled once going into score. Both had key penalties that cost them TD’s instead of field goals or that game would have been much higher scoring. The Panthers have a top 10 efficiency offense that averages 25.3PPG and 14.9YPPT. Look for both offenses to rebound after poor showings a week ago which leads to a shootout. The numbers say OVER the total!

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Dec 09, 2018
Ravens vs Chiefs
+7 -120 at Bovada
Play Type: Premium

ASA NFL 8* PLAY ON Baltimore +7 over Kansas City, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET

The Chiefs seem to be coming back to the pack a bit.  After covering their first 7 games this season they are now 1-3-1 vs the number the last 5 games.  Last week they struggled with a terrible Oakland team winning 40-33.  KC only outgained a bad Oakland offense by 27 yards and it was a 3-point margin with under 2:00 minutes remaining in the game.  A week earlier KC lost to the Rams.  The week before that they struggled with Arizona which was a one score game in the 4th quarter.  Now they must try and function without one of their top offensive weapons with RB Hunt no longer on the team.  They looked fine last week vs a terrible Oakland defense but now they face a top notch Baltimore defense.  The Ravens have the recipe to take down the Chiefs.  They have the best defense in the NFL in YPG and YPP allowed.  Last week they held a potent Atlanta offense to just 131 total yards!  Only 2 teams all season have topped 24 points on this Baltimore defense.  Will they shut down KC potent offense?  No.  But they have a chance to slow them down and if they do, they have a great shot to win this game.  Offensively, since Lamar Jackson took over at QB three weeks ago, Baltimore has rolled up huge rushing numbers with 267, 242, and 207 yards on the ground.  Because of that, they’ve controlled the clock with a time of possession edge 38:00 to 22:00 over the last 3 games.  Those numbers will come in handy here as the Ravens will be able to keep KC’s offense on the sideline by controlling the ball.  The Chiefs defense vs the run is the worst in the NFL allowing 5.1 YPC so look for Baltimore’s running game to continue to thrive on Sunday.  They can’t stop the run and the Chiefs defense has looked terrible the last 2 weeks allowing 54 & 33 points.  This is a huge game for the Ravens as they are battling for their playoff lives.  They are currently behind Pittsburgh in the AFC North and are fighting numerous teams for a potential wildcard spot.  KC has a great record, however looking as their season long stats, they are only outgaining their opponents by 20 YPG.  Baltimore outgains their opponents by 90 YPG on the season.  The Ravens have been great in the role of underdog covering 14 of their last 17 in that spot.   They do it again on Sunday and we give them a great shot to pull the upset.


The owners of American Sports Analysts (ASAwins), Lee Kostroski & Mike Merlet, have a combined 50+ years in the industry.  Both started with Doc’s Enterprises, Lee in the late 80’s and Mike in the early 90’s.  After learning the handicapping trade from one of the best in the business, they started ASA Inc in 1997 and have been going strong ever since.  They have been known throughout the industry for their success on BIG GAMES including their 10* Midwest Game of the Year.  They have posted a winning record on Top Games in 14 of their 19 football seasons giving them the much earned reputation as the top BIG GAME HANDICAPPERS in the country.  ASA is located in Madison, WI and they have also become known for their “Midwest ties” and handicapping prowess in the heart of the country – especially the Big Ten.     

ASAwins has appeared on numerous radio shows throughout the country as special expert football guests  including Tampa, New Orleans, Madison, Milwaukee, Memphis, Las Vegas, and Denver just to name a few.  They were also featured on the ESPN website with gaming writer Chad Millman during the 2011 season. 

ASAwins handicapping methods have been developed through years of hard work and research. Rather than implementing one specific strategy as many handicappers do, they intertwine many different philosophies when it comes to making football, basketball, hockey, and baseball selections.  They utilize their massive database that goes back over 30 years and can give them in depth information on any situation you can think of when it comes to handicapping.  That’s not where they stop however.  They also research stats and film each week to evaluate the upcoming match ups on the field along with speaking with their personal contacts throughout the country (especially in the Midwest).  On top of that, they analyze each pointspread (and their movements) comparing them with their own water tight power ratings to find where an edge might be found.  So as you can see, just because a game may fall into a successful system or the scheduling looks good to go against or with a certain team, that doesn’t mean that ASA automatically uses it as a selection. It must go through their in-depth process with all things considered before they give it the ASA stamp of approval. Looking at games from all of these angles gives ASA the best of all worlds when it comes to handicapping. Their handicapping theories have proven successful over the years because they provide their customers with the one thing they look for in this industry and that is WINNING RESULTS! 

Lee & Mike at ASAwins have stood the test of time in an industry that makes it very tough to do so.  Their 50+ years of experience will give you the WINNING EDGE you need.  Sports wagering is an investment and it’s time you hire ASAwins as your stock brokers!