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Bryan Power Bryan Power
COMING OFF 4-0 SWEEP! HISTORIC 57-25-1 START to the MLB season! That's 69% winners on the diamond from Power Sports! He's also now 70% ALL-TIME INSIDE THE OCTAGON (55-25!), thanks to an *INSANE* 12-1 YTD UFC record!
*10* MLB GAME OF THE WEEK (Power Sports) ~ *INSANE* 57-26 YTD IN MLB!

By now, EVERYBODY knows just how *INSANE* Power Sports has been in MLB this season. He's gone 57-26-1 overall, a winning rate of 68%! 

For this week, Power saved the BEST for last. His #1 Play of the Week on the diamond takes place Sunday afternoon!

*This package includes 1 MLB Money Line pick

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Sep 19, 2020
Indians vs Tigers
Indians
-175 at pinnacle
Lost
$175.0
Play Type: Top Premium

7* Cleveland (6:10 ET): If ever the Indians are down, they can always count on the Tigers to bring them back up. After coming into this series on an 8-game losing streak, Cleveland has won two straight in the Motor City, including 1-0 last night. That was a bit “too close for comfort” (I had CLE), but nevertheless the Tribe is now 24-3 vs. the Tigers since the start of last season. I’ll take them again tonight as they look to further strengthen their playoff position.

The Indians got a tremendous start out of Zach Plesac last night. He pitched into the 8th inning and allowed only five hits with 11 strikeouts. In one inning, he retired the side with nine consecutive strikes! I expect another sharp effort on the mound from tonight’s starter Triston McKenzie. This young rookie has a 0.79 WHIP in his 5 starts despite a less than stellar showing vs. Minnesota last Sunday. If you recall from yday’s analysis, Plesac was also coming off an outing against the Twins that was his worst of the season. I said he’d bounce back and he did. Same with McKenzie. 

Yesterday was the 4th time in the L10 games that Detroit was shutout. Two of those four losses came by 14 or more runs! They’ve also allowed 10+ runs four times in the same 10-game stretch, which has seen them go 2-8 and get outscored 72-22 in the process. The only three runs they’ve scored in their L3 games all came in the 8th inning of Thursday’s opener (when they were already down 10-0). Saturday starter Spencer Turnbull has allowed 5 runs in two of his previous three starts. Cleveland is now 8-1 as a road favorite of -125 to -175 this season. 7* Cleveland

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Sep 19, 2020
Celtics vs Heat
Celtics
-2½ -110 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

10* Boston (8:35 ET): There have been two teams this NBA postseason that have completely confounded me - Denver and Miami. While the Nuggets’ somewhat miraculous run seems likely to end in the Conference Finals, Miami is up 2-0 on Boston and now 10-1 SU/ATS overall in the playoffs. They are unbeaten in regulation as the only loss came in OT against Milwaukee, in Game 4 of the last round. But let’s not lose sight of the fact the Heat were trailing the Celtics by 13 points at halftime of the last game. 

Boston also led a majority of the way in Game 1. This despite shooting not shooting nearly as well as Miami did. They shot much better in Game 2 (50%) and also held the Heat in check from three-point range. Game 1 saw Miami make 44.4% of its 3PA, a number I guaranteed would go down in Game 2 and it did. So how did the Heat pull off the Game 2 comeback? It boiled down to basically one bad quarter for the Celtics as they were outscored 37-17 in the third. Speaking of “bad quarters,” Miami has had three in this series where they’ve scored less than 20 points … and yet somehow they’ve won both games! Maddening! 

Boston obviously HAS to win here, or the series would basically be over. While that doesn’t necessarily mean they WILL win, the Celtics have not dropped three in a row since the restart. Before losing Game 2, they’d been on a 6-0 ATS run off a loss dating back to August 6th. Their five playoff losses have been by a total of 19 points. 10* Boston

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Sep 19, 2020
Stars vs Lightning
Lightning
-145 at betonline
Lost
$145.0
Play Type: Top Premium

8* Tampa Bay (7:35 ET): If you’ve been following my NHL picks this postseason, the first thing I’d like to do is apologize! To be fair, the 1st round went exceptionally well. But things have largely “gone South” in the last two rounds and that’s been because of one team - Dallas. The Stars have toppled Colorado (who was my pick to win the Stanley Cup) and Vegas to make their first Stanley Cup Finals since 2000. To say I am in shock that they were able to oust the top two seeds in the West would be putting it mildly.

It’s not just that Dallas has been outshot this postseason. They’ve been outscored as well (64-63!). They are an extremely fortunate 4-0 in overtime games, which has been key. Every win in the Western Conference Finals was by a single goal and three of the last five wins have been in OT. Vegas outshot them badly, yet it somehow didn’t matter. In the past, I’ve written how the Stars’ scoring was due to regress (and it has). They scored just nine goals in the five games vs. the Golden Knights. In the close out game, they were down 2-0 entering the third period. 

Thankfully, here comes Tampa Bay to hopefully put an end to this Dallas’ madness. The Lightning have rolled through the last three rounds, dropping only four games in the process. Of course, they are 0-2 vs. the Stars this season with both losses coming in OT. But unlike a season ago, the ‘Ning have saved their best hockey for when it matters most. Steven Stamkos likely won’t play in Game 1, but that’s okay as Brayden Point is off the injured list. Stars goalie Anton Khudobin cannot possibly maintain his .950 save percentage from the last series. 8* Tampa Bay

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 19, 2020
Tulsa vs Oklahoma State
Tulsa
+24 -110 at sportsbook
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

8* Tulsa (12:00 ET): Oklahoma State comes into 2020 with plenty of fanfare as the Pokes are ranked #11 in the country. Originally set for last week, this game w/ Tulsa had to be pushed back to COVID-19 concerns on the Golden Hurricane’s end. But OSU still had to enjoy its Saturday as a number of their Big 12 rivals (such as Iowa State) lost to unranked foes. Of course, that’s precisely the situation the Cowboys find themselves in and I think this is too many points to lay to a motivated, in-state rival. 

Tulsa won only 4 games LY, but was more competitive than that record suggests. They actually outgained their AAC foes (by 45 YPG) despite going only 2-6 SU in conference play. They had two players chosen in the NFL Draft, so there was some talent. There still is, particularly on the offensive side of the ball. The L3 years have seen the Golden Hurricane held under 30 PPG, but with nine starters back for 2020, we could very well see them get back to the heights of 2015-16 (HC Montgomery’s first two years here) when they averaged a healthy 39.9 PPG. They have a senior QB in Zach Smith and a LOADED backfield as well. 

Of course, OK State has its own offensive firepower that will be on display. But with this being the ONLY non-conference game on the schedule, I don’t see the Cowboys being particularly motivated. They did beat Tulsa 40-21 last season (on the road), but that margin won’t cut it this time and the Golden Hurricane are a much stronger team this year as they head into Stillwater on Saturday. Though #11/#12 in the AP/Coaches Poll, OSU is just 17th in SP+ and I have Tulsa ranked even higher than their SP+ rating. 8* Tulsa

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 19, 2020
Miami-FL vs Louisville
UNDER 65 -110 Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Top Premium

10* Under Miami/Louisville (7:30 ET): The season’s 1st matchup of ranked teams takes place in Louisville where the #18 ranked Cardinals host #17 ranked Miami. As was made fairly clear w/ last week’s fade on L’ville, I’m not as high on Scott Satterfield’s team as the market seems to be. But at the same time, it’s hard for me to trust Miami in this spot as they are just 3-23 SU in their L26 away games vs. ranked opponents. But what I do trust are the respective defenses and the fact this O/U line has been bet too high. Take the Under. 

Miami & Louisville combined for “only” 66 points last week. I say “only” because each was facing a C-USA defense. Miami beat a good UAB team 31-14 while Louisville won 35-21 over Western Kentucky. While Miami’s game did stay Under, L’ville’s did not. But L’ville would have stayed Under had it not been for them giving WKU the ball inside the 5-yard line to start BOTH halves. Take those “drives” away and the Louisville defense allowed just 7 points on a TD that came near the end of the game. They allowed only 248 total yards as well and had 10 tackles for loss, plus three sacks.

There have been 65+ points scored in only TWO of Miami’s last 23 games. One of them was against Louisville last year, a 52-27 whipping down in Coral Gables that isn’t about to be repeated as this one is one the road. Even though the ‘Canes’ QB situation has received a major upgrade this season, D’Eriq King threw for just 144 yds last week vs. UAB.. At the same time, Miami’s defense is a lot better than what Louisville faced last week. The Under is 6-0 the L6 times “The U” has been a road underdog. 10* Under Miami/Louisville

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 19, 2020
Boston College vs Duke
Boston College
+6 -110 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

10* Boston College (12:00 ET): Duke certainly made a decent accounting of itself last weekend in South Bend. Coming in as a three TD underdog, the Blue Devils only lost by 14 to Notre Dame and it was even closer entering the 4Q when they were down just four. While a noble effort, I’m not sure that I’m willing to call Duke “underrated” at this point. In fact, it might be quite the opposite as ND might simply be “overrated” as are the Blue Devils this week as they are laying too many points here to Boston College.

The primary issue for Duke this week is going from the “hunter” to the “hunted.” While very good as an underdog under HC David Cutcliffe, the Blue Devils’ record as a favorite is shaky. They’ve covered just 4 of the last 14 chances laying points and have lost outright six of the last nine. Preparation is another issue this week as BC has a 1st year HC and QB. Note that while the Blue Devils did hang tough with Notre Dame last week, they were still outgained 441-332 and averaged just 2.4 yards per rush. 

While Duke is coming off a high-profile loss, Boston College has had its full attention on its season opener. This is the latest any BC season has begun since 1981. The Blue Devils were NOT an originally scheduled opponent, but plans obviously had to be changed this year. Jeff Hafley takes over in Chestnut Hill, replacing Steve Addazio, who did not leave the cupboard bare. The Eagles have a stellar offensive line (maybe the ACC’s best?) and QB Phil Jurkovec (a transfer from Notre Dame) seems ready to seize the reins. Keep this in mind: BC is on an 8-4 ATS run as an underdog, including 7-1 when getting between 3.5 and 10 points. 10* Boston College

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 19, 2020
Troy vs Middle Tennessee State
Troy
-3 -115 at Mirage
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

8* Troy (4:00 ET): Middle Tennessee was humiliated in its opener two weeks ago, losing to Army 42-0. While four turnovers certainly didn’t help, it was clear from the outset that the Blue Raiders were outclassed up in West Point as they found themselves outgained 368-184 for the game. For a MTSU team that fancies itself as “improved” coming into 2020, that was obviously NOT the way it wanted to start the season. Things get no easier this week with a visit from Troy, who is also looking to improve after a disappointing season. 

Troy had won 10 or more games three straight years going into 2019. But Neal Brown left for WVU and Chip Lindsey’s first year on the job didn’t go as well as he’d hoped. The Trojans finished 5-7 SU, their first losing season since 2015. Interesting though is that all five wins LY came by 21 or more points. Three of the seven losses came in one score games while three others were to either Missouri or teams that played for the Sun Belt Championship (App State and Louisiana). I say that if you’re looking for either Middle Tenn or Troy to improve this year, look more so to the latter. 

These programs have not met in the eight years since MTSU left the Sun Belt. They’ll meet twice this season though, a result of the reality we are currently living in. I look for Troy’s offense to have a big day, led by soph QB Gunnar Watson, who has his SEVEN top pass catchers back from a year ago. While MTSU struggled to defend the run last week, it’s not like they are likely to do any better against the pass w/ just three starters back from a year ago. Troy’s offense averaged 458 YPG last year, which was 18th best in the country! The Trojans are 9-3 ATS their L12 games as a road favorite. 8* Troy

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 19, 2020
SMU vs North Texas
North Texas
+14 -109 at pinnacle
Lost
$109.0
Play Type: Top Premium

8* North Texas (6:00 ET): SMU failed to cover in its opener two weeks ago at Texas State. The Mustangs managed to win by only a 31-24 margin and were favored by 24.5 points. I was more than happy with that result having taken the Under, which cashed with PLENTY of room to spare. Now for the second straight time the Ponies hit the road, albeit this time for an even shorter in-state trip as they will stay within the Metroplex to face North Texas, who crushed its first opponents - FCS Houston Baptist by a score of 57-31. 

Though the win came over a lesser opponent, North Texas should be proud of how they played in the opener. The offense rolled up a school record 721 total yards and 11 different receivers caught a pass. They ran 86 plays! Getting this game in Denton is huge for the Mean Green, not only because they’ve lost 10 straight times away from Apogee Stadium, but also due to the fact the home team is on an 6-1 SU run in this rivalry (nicknamed “The Safeway Bowl.”) UNT has legit revenge for a 22-point loss in Dallas LY. 

SMU has already proven itself unworthy of laying a lot of points on the road. Facing a tougher test this week, I expect them to once again struggle to grind out a SU win. In my analysis of the Texas State game, I mentioned that - even w/ QB Buechele back -  you should look for SMU’s scoring average to DROP from LY’s 41.8. That’s because the top two running backs both graduated. The Mustangs have failed to cover five straight road games, so laying double digits is clearly a BAD idea here. Take the points. 8* North Texas

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 19, 2020
Louisiana Tech vs Southern Miss
Louisiana Tech
+5½ -110 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

8* Louisiana Tech (7:30 ET): Southern Miss’ opening week loss to South Alabama was considered so bad that HC Jay Hopson ended up resigning! While Hopson openly clashed with the university president over a variety of issues during his tenure, the 32-21 loss to start the season was apparently the straw that broke the camel’s back. Consider that the Golden Eagles were 12-point favorites in that game and South Alabama hadn’t won on the road since 2017. I’m a little shocked that USM opened as the favorite this week, let alone has been bet up! 

The new man in charge in Hattiesburg is Scotty Walden, who is only 30 years old and served as the co-OC under Hopson. While Walden is considered a bright young offensive mind, this is hardly the way one would hope to make their head coaching debut at the FBS level. It’s not like Southern Miss has been a bad team (they had 4 straight winning seasons under Hopson), but a bad home loss to a team like South Alabama followed by a coaching change this early in the season is ominous.

Louisiana Tech has yet to take the field in 2020, but given all the turmoil their opponent has already endured, I don’t think the Bulldogs are at any sort of disadvantage here. Skip Holtz led this team to 10 wins last season and with the state of the USM program, right now the C-USA West Division is really up for grabs. While only eight starters are back in Ruston, Southern Miss looked VERY weak in the trenches against South Alabama. After losing to the Golden Eagles in OT back in 2017, then by one point in 2018, it was all LT LY in Ruston, 45-30. Don’t think for a second Holtz isn’t motivated by the idea of beating USM B2B years for the 1st time since 2013-14. Take the points. 8* Louisiana Tech

Matchup Selection W/L
Soccer  |  Sep 19, 2020
Arminia Bielefeld vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
-153 at pinnacle
Lost
$153.0
Play Type: Top Premium

8* Eintracht Frankfurt (9:30 ET): I thought Eintracht Frankfurt was deserving of a better fate than a middle of the table finish last season. Some ill-timed defensive lapses definitely cost them, but baseline statistics say they were better than their 13-15-6 record indicated. Only the top five had more goals scored. We all know that reigning Bundesliga champ Bayern Munich remains perhaps the best team in all of Europe. But with the likes of Borussia Dortmund likely to regress in 2020, the path to the Champions League is there for Eintracht Frankfurt. Look for Adi Hutter’s Eagles to start the season with a big win. 

Arminia Bielefeld is one of the two promoted teams in the Bundesliga this season. They were a pretty defensive minded club last season in winning the 2, giving up by far the fewest number of goals down there. But I worry about a lack of firepower as they step up in competition. Possession numbers weren’t that great against a caliber of clubs they’ll no longer be facing. I’d be shocked if Arminia made much noise at all this season. 

The Bundesliga has decided to allow fans, so that’s another edge for Frankfurt, not that they needed it for this one. This was a Europa League semi-finalist two years ago. It was a down 2019-20, but they should rebound. Arminia last triumphed against Frankfurt in the 2006-07 Bundesliga campaign. They also suffered a shock exit in DFB-Pokal at Monday at the hands of Rot-Weiss Essen. Meanwhile, Frankfurt won its tuneup 2-1 over 1860 Munich. They also won five of their final seven Bundesliga matches LY. 8* Eintracht Frankfurt

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 20, 2020
Falcons vs Cowboys
Cowboys
-3½ -102 at pinnacle
Play Type: Top Premium

10* Dallas (1:00 ET): I’ve watched as this line has been bet down all week and decided now is the time to act. I just can’t see the Cowboys, a team I project to finish near the top of the NFC, starting 0-2. I will caution you not to put much stock inthe fact Atlanta gained 500+ yards against Seattle last week. They trailed most of the way and ran a TON of plays. The Falcons also don’t have the same caliber of defense as the Rams, who were able to hold Dallas to 17 points last week. The line move is an overreaction to America’s Team losing a national TV game where they were favored. Lay the points.

Cowboys QB Dak Prescott should have a big game Sunday. Last week, Russell Wilson completed 31 of 35 pass attempts against this Falcons’ defense for 322 yards and four touchdowns. Cornerback is an issue for Atlanta and that’s a problem when facing a Dallas offense that may have the best group of starting WR’s in the league. The “success” this Atlanta defense had in the 2nd half of last season may have saved HC Dan Quinn’s job, but it was artificial, built on facing mostly weak offenses. 

While it is true Atlanta has covered each of its last four road games (were at home LW), it is also true that they were just 4-16 ATS in the 20 previous road games. Dallas has covered three consecutive home openers and this line should be at where it opened. There will be fans present. The Cowboys are a much better team than the Falcons and that should be obvious by the time this one is over. 10* Dallas

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 20, 2020
Lions vs Packers
Lions
+7 -140 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Top Premium

10* Detroit (1:00 ET):  “The Lions should have won last week” is something Lions fans are probably sick of hearing at this point. However, last week may have taken the cake. Since 2006, NFL teams with a 17+ point lead entering the 4Q were 779-2 SU. That record is now 779-3 SU after the Lions inexplicably gave up three touchdowns to Mitch Trubisky (who had been playing HORRIBLE up to that point) last week. That 27-23 loss marked Detroit’s 11th when leading in the 4Q under Matt Patricia, who started here in 2018. It was their 10th loss in a row overall and they are just 1-9 SU L10 games decided by 8 pts or less. 

Last year’s two meetings between the Packers & Lions pretty much encapsulated the two seasons. Consider that GB never led in regulation in either game. Yet they won both by kicking GW field goals as time expired. Per Elias, it was just the second time EVER a team swept a season series in which it never held a lead in regulation (the other was in 1977). The Packers were an extremely fraudulent 13-3 SU team a year ago as they went 9-1 SU In games decided by 8 pts or less and only outscored opponents by 63 points. For comparison, the 10-6 Vikings had a +104 point differential LY. 

This is clearly a contrarian play as much is being made over the Lions injuries on the defensive side of the ball. Aaron Rodgers had a big game last week in Minnesota, but for some reason always has his share of problems with the Lions. Including LY’s two miraculous escapes, the Packers are 0-6 ATS the L3 years vs. Detroit and just 2-4 SU. Given how lopsided public betting figures to be on this game, it’s interesting the number hasn’t moved. Given that they allowed 7.8 yards per play last week (league-high) to Minnesota, maybe it's the Packers defense that everyone needs to be concerned about. Take the points. 10* Detroit

Matchup Selection W/L
Soccer  |  Sep 20, 2020
Napoli vs Parma Calcio 1913
Napoli
-159 at betonline
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

10* Napoli (6:30 AM ET): Napoli isn’t accustomed to middle of the table finishes. Yet that’s precisely where the Blues found themselves at the end of LY’s campaign - seventh to be precise. That was their worst finish in Serie A in 11 years. Keep in mind that they have finished 2nd in three of the previous five seasons. Possession numbers were actually quite good in 2019-20. In fact, they were best in the league. Yet Napoli somehow only finished 8th in scoring, a number that should most certainly go up this year. 

Parma finished not far behind Napoli last season, in 11th, which was an improvement on their 14th place finish the year prior. Shockingly, they beat Napoli in both head to head meetings last year - both times by a score of 2-1. But unlike their opponents, I’m not seeing much room for improvement for Parma in 2020-21. 

This being a revenge spot, Napoli will be extra motivated to start its season with a win, especially of an unusually down campaign. 10* Napoli

SERVICE BIO

The time has come for Bryan Power to EXPAND! Having achieved a tremendous amount of success, Power is expanding his reach in 2015 as he proudly announces the formation of Power Sports Picks (that's "PSP" for short). Power Sports Picks promises to deliver the same quality analysis (and same amount of winning) as before, only now with a FULL TEAM assembled, the SKY IS THE LIMIT!