Free Betting Advice

Alex Smart Alex Smart
Alex Smart Sports - Consistent Long term winning results. Get the info the books do not want you to have.
Alex Smarts- NFL SUNDAY EARLY START THREE PACK

I have isolated THREE very viable investment options from Sundays NFL board. Includes 2 sides/ 1 Total. Todays card offers us some very powerful numbers and I am confident we have a big time edge on the books. Get the pro gridiron info the books do not want you to have. Kick off after 1 pm et

*This package includes Array Picks (2 NFL Spread, 1 NFL Total)

Alex Smarts NFL Sunday Nighter - Eagles @ Cowboys

The Philadelphia Eagles  visit the  Dallas Cowboys  deep in the heart of the Texas  this Sunday night in prime time NFL action. Join me as I explain which side  has the edge and delivers us the cash. Get the pro gridiron info the books do not want you to have,-  kick off after 8:30 pm et

*This package includes 1 NFL Spread pick

ALL SPORTS SUBSCRIPTIONS
1 day All Sports subscription of Alex Smart
With this subscription you get EVERY SINGLE PLAY released for the day of your purchase.  

*This subscription includes 4 NFL picks

3 days All Sports subscription ( Alex Smart Sports)

With this subscription you'll get every single play released for 3 consecutive days! This is our most popular subscription during football season because when purchased Saturday morning it gets you all of Saturday and Sunday's picks PLUS any plays on Monday Night Football!  

*This subscription includes 4 NFL picks

7 days All Sports subscription(Alex Smart)

Looking for some great value? Pick up a weekly package and get SEVEN DAYS full days of picks! It's easy to see why this is one of the most popular choices on the site.  

*This subscription includes 4 NFL picks

30 days All Sports subscription(Alex Smart)

SAVE A TON of money with a 30 Day subscription! You'll literally pay a fraction of the cost by signing up for a full month instead of making a single purchase each day!  

*This subscription includes 4 NFL picks

NCAA-F SUBSCRIPTIONS
College Football Subscription
**2x Top 10 CFB handicapper!**

#5 ranked CFB handicapper this season!

Now on a 86-64 run with my last 156 CFB picks! $1,000/game players have cashed in $30,430 on my CFB picks since 10/22/16 and $48,200 on my CFB picks since 09/13/14!

This subscription includes EVERY CFB PREMIUM PICK I release through the end of the NCAA Tournament! Join now and start cashing in on more winners!

No picks available.

NCAA-B SUBSCRIPTIONS
College Basketball Season Subscription!
**2x Top 10 CBB handicapper!**

#4 ranked CBB handicapper this season!

$1,000/game players have cashed in $30,750 on my CBB picks since 11/13/16!

This subscription includes EVERY CBB PREMIUM PICK I release through the end of the NCAA Tournament! Join now and start cashing in on more winners!

No picks available.

NBA SUBSCRIPTIONS
NBA Season Subscription
**2014 NBA Champion!**
**2x Top 10 NBA handicapper!**

Currently on a 4-1 NBA run since 11/17/17.

This subscription includes EVERY NBA PREMIUM PICK I release through the end of the NBA Finals! Join now and start cashing in on more winners!

No picks available.

BASKETBALL [NBA+NCAAB] SUBSCRIPTIONS
NBA + CBB Season Pass!
**2x Top 10 Basketball handicapper!**

#2 ranked Basketball handicapper this season!

Now on a 560-470 run with my last 1049 Basketball picks! $1,000/game players have cashed in $54,260 on my Basketball picks since 05/05/16!

This subscription includes EVERY CBB & NBA PREMIUM PICK I release through the end of the NBA Finals! Join now and start cashing in on more winners!

No picks available.

FOOTBALL [NFL+NCAAF] SUBSCRIPTIONS
NFL & CFB Season Pass
Now on a 113-96 run with my last 217 Football picks! $1,000/game players have cashed in $22,850 on my Football picks since 10/22/16 and $22,850 on my Football picks since 10/22/16!

This subscription includes EVERY CFB & NFL PREMIUM PICK I release through the Super Bowl! Join now and start cashing in on more winners!

*This subscription includes 4 NFL picks

NFL SUBSCRIPTIONS
FULL Season NFL Subscription
1-0 run in NFL dating back to 11/16/17.

This subscription includes EVERY NFL PREMIUM PICK I release through the Super Bowl! Join now and start cashing in on more winners!

*This subscription includes 4 NFL picks

FREE PICKS
Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Nov 19, 2017
Patriots vs. Raiders
Patriots
-6½ -116
  at  BETONLINE
in 10h

The Raiders go head to head with the defending Super Bowl champion Patriots this Sunday in Estadio Azteca in Mexico City .  The Pats after a slow start to their campaign have looked over powering of late and last week against the leagues No.1 defense (Denver) put 41 points on the board in a lopsided win. This week vs the 28 th overall ranked Raiders total defense, that allows 361.1 ypg, another romp is expected by me. The champs D, was also a question mark earlier on this season, but wow , have they ever come around, as is evident by allowing 14,17,7, 13 and 16 points  in their L/5 overall allowing  a combined average of just 13.4 ppg. I know the Raiders behind their stud QB Derek Carr have a reputation for being an explosive offensive team, but to this point in the season have not shown much consistency this year with their attack, averaging just 21.8 ppg, and I'm betting will find it hard to keep up with their behemoth  opponents today.

Belichick is 28-9 ATS  L/37 after allowing 17 points or less in 3 straight games with the average score clicking in at  NE 28.8 opposition 18.8 and is  15-4 ATS L/19 after allowing 17 points or less in 4 straight games with the average score clicking in at NE 29.3 opposition 17.5. NEW ENGLAND is 13-0 ATS   after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games with the average margin of victory coming by 15.5 ppg ( 2 TD plus)

OAKLAND is 2-10 ATS  L/12 in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 .NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 ATS  L/6 after gaining 375 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games.NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 ATS L/6  in road games after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored.NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 ATS  L/6 as a road favorite of 7 points or less.NEW ENGLAND is 10-1 ATS L/11 versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 or more yards/play.

NFL Road teams (NEW ENGLAND) - mistake-free team (1.25 TO/G  or less committed) vs a team with 1.25 TO/G or less  forced after 8+ games, after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 43-17 ATS over the L/34 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Projected score: New England 37 Oakland 17

Play on the New England Pats to cover

YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 18, 2017
Cal Poly vs Santa Clara
Cal Poly
+10 -108 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

In the last 6 seasons, Cal Poly Slo has ranked no worse than 32nd nationally in turnover percentage. When I look at certain underdogs this kind of thing stands out to me. This is the mind set that is instilled in this team. Last season injury woes destroyed any chance this team of making a top 3 run in the conference, but this season, they are being very under rated and could surprise some pundits. If they shoot just a bit better than last seasons 45% FB conversion rate we have a strong side to back as DD dog vs a Santa Clara side retooling after some key departures last season.

Take the points with Cal Poly Slo

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 18, 2017
Celtics vs Hawks
Celtics
-6½ -108 at betonline
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

The Boston Celtics,  are off a top tier win over the reigning NBA champion Golden St Warriors, and tonight put their 14-game winning streak on the line when they travel to play an Atlanta Hawks .

Atlanta  a team in  rebuilding mode, came out fired up last time out on Wednesday and beat a sleepy looking Kings team in conclusive fashion. The Hawks really exerted a lot of energy in that tilt, and might not have the electricity needed to put forth another strong effort here vs a over powering side.  After shooting 63 percent, in that above mentioned win, a reversion to the norm against a tremendous defensive team must be expected. I'm betting as this game progresses, the Celtics will pull away for a comfortable victory.

NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Celtics - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 33-8 ATS dating  back 21 seasons for a  81 % conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Nov 18, 2017
Islanders vs Lightning
OVER 6 -102 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

This matchup between the visiting NY Islanders and their hosts the TB Lightning  features two of the top three scoring teams in the league. TB is averaging 4.00 goals per game and  scored five or more goals 9 times this season, including in four of the past five games. Three times the Lightning have  smacked down   6 goals , including the last time out in a 6-1 victory against Dallas on Thursday.The Islanders, meanwhile, have scored the third-most goals in the league at 65 and are averaging the second-most goals in the league at 3.61 per game. New York scored five or more goals eight different times in 18 tilts and are coming off a shootout against Carolina in which the Islanders scored six goals.

NY ISLANDERS are 6-0 OVER l/6 against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game this season with a combined average of 8.8 gpg going on the score board.

NHL team against the total NYI - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games against opponent after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games are 52-19 over the L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate of 72% for bettors.

Play on the OVER 1 unit reg selection

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 18, 2017
Houston Baptist vs Belmont
Belmont
-18 -110 at Bovada
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium


2K CLASSIC - WOUNDED WARRIOR - Round 1 - Curb Event Center - Nashville, TN

Belmont is an extremely talented team, and will be out to lay down a beat down vs Houston Baptist this Saturday after wins vs Middle Tenn State and Vanderbilt and a hard fought road loss to Washington blowing a lead late. Yes, the Huskies made it to the CIT last season, and are a decent program in a lesser conference , but they are very much over matched here  as they were against Providence in a 84-55 loss in their opener this season. It must also be noted that the Huskies are reloading and need time to jell, which is never a good thing when playing against this kind of explosive opponent.


Play on Belmont to cover 1 unit reg selection

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Nov 18, 2017
Wild vs Capitals
Capitals
-115 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

The reigning Presidents' Trophy winners Washington come  home from a two-game road trip that saw them lose by scores of 6-3 in Nashville and 6-2 in Colorado. Top tier teams like this don't usually take well to being embarrassed and I'm betting they come out here with their hair on fire looking for quick redemption. I now their competition the Wild , have won for straight but their expected starting goalie, Dubnyk,  , has struggled against Washington, posting a 2-4-1 mark with a 3.61 goals against average and a .879 save percentage and is fade material here this evening.

Wild are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
WASHINGTON is 18-5 ATS L/23 after 2 or more consecutive losses and 13-3 ATS L/16 after allowing 5 goals or more .Capitals are 20-7 in their last 27 games following a loss of 3 or more goals.Wild are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings and are 0-4 in their L/5 visits here.

Washington has won four in a row at Capital One Arena and get the nod again.

NHL Road underdogs of +100 to +200 against the money line like the WILD- off 2 or more consecutive home wins against opponent off a road blowout loss by 3 goals or more are 4-33  L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 89% for bettors.

Play on the Washington Capitals to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 18, 2017
Kings vs Blazers
Kings
+12 -105 at BMaker
Tie
Play Type: Premium

The Trail Blazers enter into this game in cohesive form and were held to a season-low scoring output in an 86-82 loss to the Sacramento Kings on Friday night. Actually the Kings matchup well vs Portland and once again look like they will give problems to the Blazers inconsistent offense.The Trail Blazers have been held below 100 in five straight games and are averaging 94.8 points in that stretch. I know the Kings don't inspire bettors but, from a point spread perspective matchup well vs the host team, and are my recommended side here this evening.

Trail Blazers are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.Trail Blazers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Pacific.Trail Blazers are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 home games.Trail Blazers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Underdog is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings.

NBA Favorites of 10 or more points like Portland  - after a game where both teams scored 90 points or less against opponent after scoring 90 points or less. are 75-126 ATS L/21 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Sacramento to cover 1 unit reg selection

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 18, 2017
Nevada vs Pacific
Pacific
+12 -110 at GTBets
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

Pacific under former NBA player HC Stoudamire are a team that should be respected as underdogs in this spot. the coach has a lot of respect from his players because of his playing career in the big leagues and has a good rapport with the players. He's done a fine job with this program, and if a few guys like Reynolds and Small  catch fire this season , this team will be surprise a lot of pundits. Meanwhile, Nevada, the Mountain West reg season champs, enter this game with a big time reputation under HC Musselman, but the caveat here comes via their off season losses, which made up a bulk of their offense. Yes, the Pack have looked good in their first three games, but laying this much lumber on the road , vs a feisty/crafty Pacific group still makes them fade material according to my own numbers. Note: Pacific lost 89-80 to Stanford a quality PAC 12 program, and have the ability to stay within the number here again tonight.

Pacific is 7-2 SU l/9 in home games vs Nevada.

CBB team like Nevada- off a road win, first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season with 7+ spread covers in last 8 games are just 8-21 L/29 SU for a go against 72% conversion rate.

Play on the Pacific to cover 1 unit reg selection

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 18, 2017
Utah State vs Gonzaga
Gonzaga
-16 -105 at 5Dimes
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Premium

Gonzaga was  a few possessions away from a national championship last season,  and enter this game as big favs as they should be. The group while going through some changes, will still be hugely talented as  HC Few is known to be a master recruiter. From a depth perspective, their maybe deficiencies, but as long as Gonzaga's core stays healthy they should be dominant again. Meanwhile, Utah State remains a strong offensive team, leading the conference FG %, last season, but at the same time their are defensive short comings which were also  obvious to, and  I don't think were addressed over the summer. With that said, Gonzaga may not be the juggernaut they were last season, but their still a force to be reckoned with, and must respected as 8 possession/conversion rate favorite vs this type of team.

CFB Home teams as a favorite or pick like Gonzaga - after scoring 95 points or more, with just two starters returning from last year in the first 5 games of the season are a bankroll expanding 31-6 ATS dating back 5 seasons.

CFB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points like Gonzaga - off a home win scoring 85 or more points, with just two starters returning from last year in the first 5 games of the season are 28-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Gonzaga to cover

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 18, 2017
Fairfield vs Purdue
UNDER 154½ -110 Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

Purdue is a very strong Big 10 program with a lot of big athletic players in their ,lineup. Despite of having the guns to put down a boatload full of points, the Boilermaker HC Painter prides himself on being able to play shut down defense, and today against Fairfield I'm betting that will be the case. Meanwhile, Fairfield, is an easy team to slow down if you can control their super star Tyler Nelson ( 19.5 ppg last season), something I'm betting the Boliermakers will do. Also on the flipside, Fairfield owned the 2nd best D, in the MAAC last season behind St.Peters and according to my cross reference player personnel rankings will be even better this season.

FAIRFIELD is 14-4 UNDER   vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more  of their attempts with a combined average of 150.8 ppg going on the board.FAIRFIELD is 6-0 UNDER  after a win by 10 points or more with a combined average of 140.3 ppg going on the scoreboard.

  

CBB Home teams against the total like Purdue - after a game - shooting 57% or higher, allowing 43% or lower against opponent after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 37% or less are 54-14 UNDER the L/20 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 18, 2017
Middle Tennessee vs Tennessee State
Middle Tennessee
-6½ -115 at betonline
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Ford the coach of Tennessee State is a guy I respect, but today his team is in over their heads in my humble opinion vs a offensively explosive Middle Tennessee State hoops program. Ford built last teams squad around the now departed Tahjere McAll and all OVC pick, but now the cupboard may be a little empty on top tier talent, and  considering his three returning guards shot consistency was awful I'm betting defense will be the name of the game. Unfortunately theirs only so much a group like this can do vs a side that could easily find it itself in the NCAA tourney . 

Play  Middle Tennessee State to cover

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 18, 2017
NC State vs Wake Forest
NC State
+2 -110 at betonline
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

No. 19 North Carolina State  wants this game badly and  is on the verge of something special if they can get a 9 win season, stay in the top 25 and garner a big pay day with a top tier Bowl appearance. Needless to say North Carolina State is very motivated entering this tilt against a over rated Wake Forest program that despite of a explosive 64-43  win last week, vs Syracuse still allowed a whopping 621 yards on defense, and in the game before that allowed 710 yards to Notre Dame. I just don't like them today vs a a football program that has owned them of late winning three straight SU/ATS by an average of 22 points per game and are 8-1 L/9 in this series when the Deacons are off a win. I'm also betting on Wake Forest to be in an emotional letdown state , after last week astounding come back win.

WAKE FOREST is 0-7 ATS  L/7 after 5 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers.

CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Wake Forest - good team - outscoring opponents by 7 or more points/game, after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games are 8-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.

CFB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Demon Deacons - in a game involving two good rushing teams (4.3 to 4.8 YPR) after 7+ games are 13-44 ATS for a76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on N.C State to cover 1 unit reg selection

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 18, 2017
Army vs North Texas
Army
+3 -125 at Bovada
Tie
Play Type: Free

Army is having a great season, and own a 8-2 record on the campaign and are currently on a 6 game win streak, after 21-16 win over Duke at home last time out where they are undefeated on the season. ARMY is 6-0 ATS  L/6  in road games after playing a game at home.

Meanwhile, the Mean Green are also hot having won 6 of their L/7 games, but by no means have been consistent especially on defense where they have recently allowed Fl Atlantic to smack them for 69 points and Old Dominions inconsistent offense to put  38 points on them. Yes, N.Texas is off a big 48-10 win against winless UTEP last time out, but on the past have not done well after a big win . Note: NORTH TEXAS is 1-9 ATS  off a home blowout win by 28 points or more.

CFB Home favorites like North Texas - excellent offensive team ( 6.2 or more YPP) against a sub par  defense (5.6 to 6.2 YPP) after 7+ games, in non-conference games are just 4-22 ATS 25 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 85% for bettors.

Play on Army to cover

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 18, 2017
Pittsburgh vs Virginia Tech
Pittsburgh
+15½ -110 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

After back to back losses to Miami Fl and Georgia Tech I'm sure this Virginia Tech Hokies group feels downtrodden. With really nothing left o play for I cannot see them performing at optimal speed here today giving credence to my recommendation on taking a Pittsburgh team that needs a win badly to get a Bowl invite. In the past no matter which team has been better at the time, it seems the Panthers have found a way to be competitive as their 9-1 ATS and 6-3 SU record in this series would indicate. Overall Pittsburghs been a tough out on the road of late cashing 6 of their L/7 away as dogs, and are 6-2 ATS L/8 as conference dogs of 13 points or more,.

CFB road team like Pittsburgh - after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game against opponent after being outrushed by 125 or more yards last game are  95-45 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors .

Play on Pittsburgh to cover 1 unit reg selection

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 18, 2017
Texas vs West Virginia
Texas
+3½ -115 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Texas since their ugly opening loss to Maryland have steadily improved under Tom Herman, and I don't think we have seen them at their very best quite yet and could easily see them in top form today as they need one more win to secure a bowl bid. Meanwhile,  West Virginia already has a bowl game in their December plans,  and may not be as motivated as their opponents. With that said, I'm betting we have an edge vs a W.Virginia side that has  not faired well as home chalk of late vs .500 or above conference  opposition  going 3-11 ATS . Meanwhile, the LongHorns HC Herman is 8-1 ATS L/7 as a underdog lifetime and has covered 11 of his L/13 vs a power 5 football programs and proved their metal in a recent road win vs Iowa State a home win vs KState, and two hard fought close losses to Oklahoma State by 3 points and a 5 point loss to Oklahoma. Note: My own projections tell me Texas will score 22 points or more, which is a good omen, as TEXAS is 6-0 ATS  L/6 when they score 22 to 28 points over the last few seasons.

 CFB road team like the Longhorns - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival, with 4+ more total starters and an experienced QB returning against team with new QB are 32-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Texas to cover 1 unit reg selection

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 18, 2017
Nevada vs San Diego State
San Diego State
-16 -110 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Nevada owns a 2-8 record on the season, thanks in part to what must be considered an atrocious defense, especially on the road where they have allowed an average of 40.4 ppg.  The Wolfpacks only saving grace has been a sometimes explosive offense, but today against a very strong San Diego State D, allowing an average of just 18.8 ppg their in big trouble vs a team that is 18-0 SU and   12-1 ATS L/13 when playing against a team with a losing record , with he average score clicking in at SD St 37.4 opposition 8.5.  Add to that Rocky Longs, great late season runs of late that have seen him go 9-0 SU 8-0-1 ATS in his L/4 games of the season when coming off a DD ATS win which happened last time out in a 52-7 ATS blasting of San Jose State. No mercy rule in effect here tonight.

CFB road team vs. the money line like Nevada - cold team, after having lost 8 or more out of their last 10 games against opponent after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games are 1-34 SU losing SU by an average of 26.1 ppg.

 CFB  home team vs. the money line like San Diego State - team outrushing opponents by 80+ YPG against a team who is outrushed by 50+ YPG after 7+ games, after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game are 29-1 SU winning by an average of 24.2 ppg.

Play on the San Diego State Aztecs to cover 1 unit reg selection

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 18, 2017
Rice vs Old Dominion
Old Dominion
-8½ -110 at GTBets
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

I've kept an eye on Old Dominion , as I have been looking for improvement over the season, and I can see their on a upward trajectory. Last week vs FIU as DD road dogs, they took a 37-30 win in a game they actually dominated despite of the slight 7 point difference. The Monarchs freshman QB  Steven Williams, continues to improve as their starting QB was injured earlier in the season. He had a 168 yards rushing, and 3 TDS in last weeks game, and give Old dominion the edge this week, vs a Rice team that can be best described as futile, allowing 40 or more points in 5 of their L/6 games. Note:OLD DOMINION is 7-0 ATS  L/7 vs. very bad defensive teams who give up 34 or more points/game Last year winning SU by an average of 13.7 ppg. the Owls lost to the Monarchs by a 45-42 count as 7 point favorites, and look like weak dogs this week vs a Old Dominion side that is 16-0 SU L/16 as chalk, and 10--1-1 L/12 against the spread.

CFB Road underdogs like Rice - lower tier team - outscored by opponents by 10 or more points/game, after 2 straight games where 70 total points or more were scored are 6-26 ATS L/10 seasons for a 81% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Old Dominion to cover 1 unit reg selection

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 18, 2017
Cincinnati vs East Carolina
Cincinnati
-3 -120 at GTBets
Lost
$120.0
Play Type: Premium

E.Carolina has struggled for most of this season , thanks to a defense, that has allowed 45 ppg  during their 2017 campaign , and also a  offense that has generated just 23.8 ppg. I know visiting Cincinnati may not inspire bettors but this is a very winnable game for them. The Bearcats have shown life,  and some upward trajectory in games vs Navy, SMU and a recent upset win vs Tulane, and are a viable side to back in this tilt of downtrodden sides. In other words , the lesser of two evils, is the choice here today. ( Lay the FG with the Bearcats)

E CAROLINA is 2-10 ATS  vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 yards or less per return losing SU by an average of  11.2 ppg.

E CAROLINA is 1-10 ATS  L/11 when the total is greater than or equal to 63 and 0-7 ATS  in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 63.E CAROLINA is 2-12 ATS  L/14 against conference opponents and 0-6 ATS  L/6 in November games .E CAROLINA is 0-9 ATS L/9after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games.

CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like E.Carolina  - after playing a game at home, in weeks 10 through 13 are just 13-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cincinnati Bearcats to cover 1 unit reg selection

SERVICE BIO

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 18 years.  I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.  

My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 17 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigous event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.  In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!  

I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled.  These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.