Free Betting Advice

Alex Smart Alex Smart
Alex Smart Sports- CFB ACC Thursday Night Side Smash- Tulsa @ Temple

There is one game on the Thursday nights Week 4  College football rotational schedule as two AAC combatants Tulsa and Temple go head to head in Philadelphia , PA. Join me as I explain which side has the edge on the spread. Your100% Guaranteed answer is just a few clicks away. kick off after 7:30 pm et 

*This package includes 1 NCAA-F Spread pick

Alex Smart Sports- NFL Thursday Nighter ( Total) - Tests 69% & 77% Runs

The NY Jets travel to Cleveland to play the Browns in Thursdays prime time NFL event. Join me as I explain which side of the Total the combined score will fall on and get the winning info the books do not want you to have. Tests 22-10 69% overall NFL run dating back to last season and profitable 10-3 77% NFL Totals conversion rate. Kick off after 8:30 pm et 

*This package includes 1 NFL Total pick

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Sep 17, 2018
Rockies vs Dodgers
Rockies
+143 at 5Dimes
Lost
$100.0
Play Type: Premium

Gray the Rockies starter hasn't lost since June 12 at Philadelphia  which has seen him record a  14-start unbeaten streak. Meanwhile, Ryu the Dodgers  starter tonight vs the visiting Rockies  has lost back-to-back starts. Considering the current form of both pitchers, and the fact that the Dodgers are coming home off a road trip and on tired legs , after playing last night out in St.Louis, it will be an easy decision to recommend we wager on the Rockies. Note:RYU has lost his L/4 starts vs the Rockies. RYU is 0-7 against the money line in September games over the last few seasons. (Team's Record).RYU is 4-12  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)RYU is just 3-6 with a 5.77 ERA in nine career starts vs the Rockies .

GRAY is 10-3  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) 

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA DODGERS) - on a streak where they have hit a home run in 15 consecutive games are just 18-33 L/21 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to won on the moneyline 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Sep 17, 2018
Cardinals vs Braves
UNDER 8½ -115 Lost
$115.0
Play Type: Premium

Mikolas the Cards starter is currently in top form and has held opponents to fewer than three runs 11 times in his last 15 starts . That not good news for a Braves offence that has  really struggled vs the righty  starter ,recording no extra base hits in  32 at-bats against him. 

Meanwhile, Atlanta’s Mike Foltynewicz (11-9, 2.66 ERA) is currently in top  form,  and has allowed 1 run or less in 6 of his L/7 trips to the hill.  Foltynewicz   last start against St. Louis, saw him allow just one hit and record nine strikeouts over five scoreless innings on July 1 and Im betting in his current form will be a hard target to score against again tonight.

ATLANTA is 13-3 UNDER  in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season with a combined average of 6.5 rpg scored.ATLANTA is 23-11 UNDER  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored.

Under is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 10-2 in Cardinals last 12 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Cardinals last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 10-4 in Cardinals last 14 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 17-8-2 in Cardinals last 27 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Play UNDER 

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Sep 18, 2018
Cardinals vs Braves
Cardinals
+128 at BetPhoenix
Play Type: Premium

The Cards enter this game against the Braves having owned this series here in Atlanta of late winning 7 straight meetings . Im betting Gomber (5-1, 3.78 ERA)  the Cards starter who has seen his team win 5 of his L/6 road starts to be enfuego again tonight.

Braves are 1-6 in their last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

I know Gomber is off a down effort, last time out, but overall he permitted  just eight earned runs in his previous six starts and more than capable of bouncing back. Note: Atlanta has lost 17 of their L/23 games vs a winning team and have lost 9 of their L/12 home games overall. Cards have also cashed in 13 of their 23 as road dogs.

Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the moneyline 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Sep 18, 2018
Red Sox vs Yankees
Yankees
-128 at BMaker
Play Type: Premium

Happ has been one of the Yankees' top hurlers since his acquisition in late July from the Blue Jays. In eight starts for New York, Happ is 6-0 with a 2.70 ERA. More of the same top tier pitching action is on board here this afternoon vs the Red Sox. Meanwhile, Eovaldi the BoSox starter has seen his team lose his last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

The Yanks were off yesterday and are ready and fresh for a win here vs their long time rivals. Note: Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 games following an off day.Red Sox are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings in New York.

The Red Sox have lost 17 straight as a dog vs a lefty when they are off a game as a favorite and faced righties in each of their last three games.

HAPP is 29-7  against the money line after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)  is 29-13  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) 

NY YANKEES are 28-9 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 season.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 (BOSTON) - after having won 3 of their last 4 games, a top-level team (62% or more ) playing a team with a winning record are 84-171 L/21 seasons for a 67% go against conversion rate. 

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline 

SERVICE BIO

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 18 years.  I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.  

My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 17 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigous event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.  In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!  

I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled.  These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.