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Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 18, 2017
-16 -110 at GTBets
Play Type: Free


The ugly loss to Notre Dame has lit a fire under this USC team, as they have since went a perfect 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS, beating Arizona St on the road 48-17 as a 5-point favorite, Arizona 49-35 as a 7-point home favorite and Colorado 38-24 as a 13.5-point favorite. Even with them laying nearly 3-scores, I think there's some great value with the Trojans in this one. 

As you can see from the scores, USC's offense has been racking up the points. They are simply going to have a field day here against UCLA and that horrific defense of theirs. The Bruins simply can't stop the run, as they rank 130th in the country giving up 302.3 ypg on the ground. USC had over 330 yards rushing in both their wins over the Arizona schools and should easily top that mark here. 

I know UCLA can score and that offense is the only reason this line isn't bigger, I just don't think they will be able to score enough to keep this within the number. USC's defense isn't great, but it's capable of getting stops. Not to mention I think they are going to come out fired up in their final home game and last tune up before the Pac-12 title game. 

Lets also not overlook how bad the Bruins have been on the road, UCLA is just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games and are only scoring 22.8 ppg away from home during this stretch. It's also a plus they won last week, as they are just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 off a conference win. USC on the other hand is 12-3 ATS in their last 15 home games off 3 or more consecutive wins. Give me the Trojans -16! 


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Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 18, 2017
Arizona University vs Oregon
PK -110 at GTBets
Play Type: Premium


I think we are getting some great value here with the Ducks at just a pick’em on their home field in a prime time night game on Saturday. I think a lot of people will be inclined to back Arizona here, as they have been the much better team of late. The Wildcats are 5-1 in their last 6 games with the only loss coming at USC. Oregon on the other hand is 1-4 in their last 5 with the only win coming at home against Utah.

My biggest concern here with the Wildcats is a lack of motivation, as there’s really not a lot at stake for Arizona. With USC’s win over Colorado last week, Arizona no longer has a shot at the Pac-12 South title. I think they could find it difficult to get up for an Oregon team that hasn’t been playing well, especially given that they got their huge in-state rivalry game against Arizona State on deck next week.

As for Oregon, they still need 1 more win to become bowl eligible, something that’s a bigger deal than normal given they didn’t qualify last year and are in the first season of new head coach Willie Taggart. I also think we get a very motivated Ducks team off of their bye after how poorly they played in their last game against Washington.

However, the biggest reason that I like the Ducks, is I feel there’s an excellent chance we see starting quarterback Justin Herbert return from injury. Some thought he was going to return in their last game against the Huskies, but it didn’t happen. While nothing is official, he was practicing with the first team during the bye week and Taggart mentioned in his press conference on Monday that he’s really close and hopeful that he’s going to be ready to play.

My money is on him playing and with him this is a completely different Oregon offense. Herbert had completed 68.3% of his attempts for 1,264 yards and 9 touchdowns (only 2 picks) before getting hurt. Backup Braxton Burmeister in comparison has thrown for 324 yards in 5 games, 4 starts.

If by chance Herbert doesn’t play, I still like the Ducks here, as they bring a potent rushing attack to the table, which is currently ranked 11th in the country at 255.2 ypg. Arizona just allowed 151 to a horrible Oregon State ground game last week and the week prior gave up 331 rushing yards to USC.

I also think the bye week is going to pay off huge for Oregon’s defense, which will have two weeks to put together a game-plan to slow down the Wildcats Khalil Tate. Note that the Ducks strength defensively has been stopping the run, as they are 30th against the run (130.5 ypg) compared to 98th against the pass (249.2 ypg).

Oregon is also a profitable 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games off a bye, while Arizona is just 3-12 ATS under Rich Rodriguez in road games off a cover and 0-6 ATS under Rodriguez in road games after scoring 31 or more points in 3 straight games. Give me the Ducks!

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 18, 2017
Texas A&M vs Ole Miss
Texas A&M
+3 -120 at Bovada
Play Type: Premium


Not only does Texas A&M have revenge on their minds from last year’s loss to Ole Miss, but they are the only team with something to play for down the stretch. Ole Miss is not eligible for postseason play, as they self-imposed a one-year ban.

It’s a big reason why the Rebels are just 5-5 with only 2 wins in SEC play. Keep in mind those two wins both came against teams out of the East in Kentucky and Vanderbilt. They are 0-3 against teams from the West, including a loss at home to Arkansas, which to this point is the Razorback’s only conference win.

I just have a hard time seeing Ole Miss matching the Aggies intensity in this one given the circumstances, especially with their huge in-state rivalry game against Mississippi State on deck.

While Texas A&M is just 3-3 in league play, all 3 of their losses have come against top teams out of the West in Alabama, Auburn and Mississippi State. I just feel they are the much better team in this matchup and actually would have them favored.

The biggest factor here for me is I can only trust one of these teams to get stops on the defensive side of the ball and that’s Texas A&M. Ole Miss has been atrocious on defense this year, as they come in 112th in points allowed at 35.6 ppg and are 118th in total defense, giving up 454.2 ypg. In comparison, the Aggies are only giving up 27.5 ppg and are a respectable 39th in total defense, allowing just 367.2 ypg.

Ole Miss is just 10-21 ATS in their last 31 games played in November, 3-8-1 ATS in their last 11 conference games, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games and 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs a team with a winning record. Give me the Aggies +3! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 18, 2017
Mississippi State vs Arkansas
Mississippi State
-11½ -110 at BMaker
Play Type: Premium

40* NCAAF EARLY BIRD ATS KNOCKOUT (Mississippi St -11.5)

I typically wouldn’t look to back a team like the Bulldogs off such a crushing loss in a big game, but I have a lot of faith in head coach Dan Mullen and his staff to get his team to bounce back with a big time effort. In fact, I believe that performance against Alabama will only add to the confidence of this Mississippi State team, who has had a chip on their shoulder from the start after getting picked by most experts to finish last in the SEC West. Not only are they not going to finish last, but they have a chance at a 10-win season if they can win their last two and their bowl game.

The other big thing here is this isn’t a good Arkansas team. The Razorbacks only win inside conference play came against Ole Miss, who is basically just going through the motions with no shot at postseason play. Arkansas is getting outscored in conference play by more than 20 ppg and have been no match against the top teams.

I also think it’s important to point out that LSU was in a very similar spot to Mississippi State, as they had just lost the week before to Alabama. That would have been an easy spot for the Tigers to lay down and yet they won the game by 23 points. Another factor that will get overlooked with the Bulldogs off that loss to the Crimson Tide is the revenge angle that Mississippi State has after last year’s loss to the Razorbacks.

The matchup is also one that I think favors the Bulldogs. Mississippi State’s defense has been outstanding outside of their 3 games against Auburn, Georgia and Alabama, who are easily the 3 best teams in the SEC. Even if the defense slips, the offense should be able to carry the load and do enough to get a win here by at least two touchdowns. Arkansas’ defense has been non-existent in SEC games this season, as the Razorbacks are allowing 43.5 ppg and have allowed at least 33 in all 6 of their conference games.

Arkansas is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games vs a team with a winning record and 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. On the flip side of this, we see that Mississippi State is a perfect 6-0 ATS over the last 3 seasons when coming off a home loss. Give me the Bulldogs -11.5!

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 18, 2017
Navy vs Notre Dame
+18 -110 at GTBets
Play Type: Premium


You can never be quite sure how a team will respond to a loss like the one Notre Dame suffered, but more times than not those teams struggle to play up to their potential the next time out. Especially in a situation like this, where the loss for the Irish all but eliminated them from a chance to make the 4-team playoff. Not only do I think it has Navy showing some great value here as a 3-score underdog, but I believe it gives them a legit shot at pulling off the upset.

While Notre Dame could find it difficult to pick themselves up off the mat, Navy is going to come out guns blazing against a what’s likely to be a Top 10 opponent. Not to mention they will be playing with a ton of confidence after that thrilling win over SMU.

Another thing here is that the Midshipmen are better than they get credit for. Their largest loss all season is by just 10-points at home against a very good UCF team and they were right there down just a field goal with less than 5 minutes to play. They also have a mere 3-point loss at Memphis who is a Top 20 team.

Navy is also a team that’s built to keep games close with their triple-option attack that eats up the clock and limits the opposing teams number of possessions. It’s also a very difficult offense to prepare for and you have to wonder just how motivated the Irish players are going to be in practice this week. If Notre Dame doesn’t come in with the right state of mind, Navy is going to torment that defense from start to finish.

Midshipmen are an impressive 30-18 ATS in their last 48 when listed as an underdog and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 off a home win by 3-points or less. The Irish on the other hand are just 1-11 ATS in their last 12 home games after trailing in their previous game by 17 or more points at the half and 2-10 ATS in their last 12 home games against similar teams to Navy, who are a run first team (average 125 or less passing yards/game). Give me the Midshipmen +18! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 18, 2017
Virginia vs Miami-FL
+19 -102 at betonline
Play Type: Premium


As good as Miami looked against Notre Dame, this is a tricky spot for the Hurricanes. For most of this season Miami has been the team flying under the radar. They also had a chip on their shoulder as everyone kept doubting them. Now the roles have been reversed. Everyone is singing the Hurricanes praises and while the college football playoff rankings aren’t out just yet, they are up to No. 2 in both the AP and Coaches Polls.

This is the ideal letdown spot for Miami, as that win over the Irish was the biggest in quite some time for this program and no one is expecting Virginia to be a serious threat. As much as head coach Mark Richt will try to keep his team focused at the task at hand, it’s going to be very hard for the Hurricanes to do just that.

I’m not saying the Cavaliers are going to win this game outright, but I think they can do enough here to keep it within the number. Let’s not forget this Miami team has had several close calls this season. Not only did they have the two miraculous last-second wins over both FSU and Georgia Tech, but they also only beat the likes of Syracuse by 8 and North Carolina by 5.

I also think Virginia poses a difficult matchup. One of the reasons the Hurricanes were able to shutdown Notre Dame’s offense is the Irish didn’t have anything to fall back on when the running game wasn’t working. The Cavaliers likely aren’t going to have much success on the ground either, but senior quarterback Kent Benkert and this offense feature a potent passing attack. I believe it’s good enough to move the ball and put some pressure on this defense, it also keeps open the possibility of a backdoor cover if things do happen to get out of hand early.

Another thing is this Miami offense is still a work in progress. While they scored 41 against the Irish, they only put up 374 total yards in that game. The defense was as big a part of the offense than anything, as they had just 1 scoring drive more than 60 yards, with 4 scoring drives that started with the offense getting the ball on the Irish side of the field. Keep in mind that the Hurricanes had scored 28 or fewer points in each of their previous 5 games.

One last thing is this ridiculous rate that Miami is creating turnovers is simply not sustainable and there’s going to come a time when the breaks just don’t go their way. With a defense that figures to just be going through the motions off that big win, this could be the week they don’t rack up the turnovers and that not only would give Virginia a great shot at covering, but potentially pulling off the upset. Give me the Cavaliers +19! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 18, 2017
Purdue vs Iowa
+8 -110 at Bovada
Play Type: Top Premium


I'll take the points with the Boilermakers in this one. Purdue is a team that I have been on quite a bit this season and a big reason for that is the big improvements I was expecting under new head coach Jeff Brohm. While the wins have been tough to come by of late, this team could easily be sitting at 6-4 and 4-3 in league play. They only lost at Wisconsin by a final of 9-17 and have two conference defeats by a combined 3 points against Rutgers and Nebraska.

Not only do I think Purdue has a good chance of keeping this within the number, I wouldn’t be shocked if they won this game outright. That’s because this is not an ideal spot for Iowa coming off those two huge games against Ohio State and Wisconsin. Not to mention a big rivalry game on deck to close out the year at Nebraska looming next Friday. I just think it’s going to be hard for them to give the Boilermakers their full attention, especially given how lopsided the series has been.

Purdue on the other hand should lay it all on the line in this one. Sitting at 4-6, the Boilermakers need to win their final two games to become bowl eligible. Getting to a bowl game is a big deal for this team, as they haven’t been to one since 2012.

The other thing here is Iowa is a team that more times than not find themselves in close games and rarely do they blow teams out unless there’s a big gap in talent. I just don’t think Purdue is one of those teams that they have a massive edge against.

Lastly, there’s a good chance this is a low-scoring game, which makes the points that much more valuable. Sure Iowa put up 55 in their last home against Ohio State, but after watching the Buckeyes thrashing of Michigan State, I think that was clearly more of Ohio State not showing up to play. After their 14-points against Wisconsin, all via the defense, the Hawkeyes have now scored 17 or fewer points in 5 of their 7 Big Ten games. The only other exception against the worst team in the league in Illinois.

This is also a spot Iowa has struggled in, as they are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games against a team with a losing road record. On the flip side of this, Purdue is 10-2-2 ATS in their last 14 road games against a team with a winning home record. Give me the Boilermakers +8! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 18, 2017
Central Florida vs Temple
+14 -105 at Bovada
Play Type: Top Premium

50* NCAAF *AAC* GAME OF THE MONTH (Temple +14) 

I love the Owls in this spot. UCF is a great team but because of their great start against the spread are way overvalued right now. I not only think they have a hard time covering this number against Temple, but I wouldn't be shocked if their perfect season came crashing to an end on Saturday. 

The Owls have been a different team since Frank Nutile took over as the starting quarterback. He's started just 3 games and already has 883 passing yards and is completing 65% of his attempts with a 6-3 TD-INT ratio. UCF has been exposed through the air on multiple occasions and I think his ability to make plays gives the Owls a great shot at the upset here. 

This is also a horrible spot for UCF. While they can see Temple has been playing better, they have already had the game next week at home against USF circled on the calendar. I just don't think they are going to have the right mindset here and it only gets harder to play up to your true potential when you get this deep in the schedule without a loss. One thing is for sure and that's the Owls are going to lay everything they have on the line here and that should be enough for them to cash a winning ticket. Give me Temple +14! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 19, 2017
Boise State vs Iowa State
Boise State
+1½ -110 at BMaker
Play Type: Premium


Iowa State is way down this year. The Cyclones are way down this year. They have lost a ton a talent the last two years and are in a major rebuilding phase right now. Boise State on the other hand is a program that doesn't get near the respect they deceiver and are going to be one of the top teams in the MWC again. I look for the Broncos to pull off the upset here. Give me Boise State +1.5!

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Nov 19, 2017
Redskins vs Saints
+8 -105 at Bovada
Play Type: Premium


As hard as it is to go against a red-hot team like the Saints, I would have to lean towards taking the points here with Washington. Not to take anything away from New Orleans and their 7-game winning streak, as it’s no easy task to win that many in a row, regardless of who you are playing, but it’s certainly been a favorable stretch for them.

In just their last 4 games they have faced Green Bay without Aaron Rodgers, the Bears and Bucs at home and a clearly dysfunctional Bills team that is doing everything they can to ruin this season. The latest move being benching starting QB Tyrod Taylor in favor of Nathan Peterman.

They also have a home win over the Lions and win against the Dolphins in London where Miami didn’t show up to play. The best win of the bunch is a victory at Carolina way back in Week 3. That looks great now with how the Panthers are playing, but keep in mind that Cam Newton was playing at less than 100% early in the year.

Now I’m not saying the Saints are going to lose this game at home, I just think it’s asking a lot for them to win here by more than a touchdown against a good but not great Washington team. Despite a rash of injuries, including a stretch where they were missing 4 starting offensive linemen, the Redskins have showed a lot of fight and this feels like a game they need to have to keep their playoff hopes alive.

We also have a strong system that backs this being a good time to fade the Saints. Favorites in the NFL that are averaging 27 or more points/game are just 9-27 (25%) ATS after allowing 14 or fewer points in back-to-back games since 1983. Give me the Redskins +8!

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Nov 19, 2017
Rams vs Vikings
-2 -110 at Bovada
Play Type: Top Premium


The Vikings simply aren’t getting enough respect on their home field. Since Mike Zimmer took over as head coach, Minnesota has gone 20-10 SU and 22-8 ATS at home. One of things I like about this Vikings team is you rarely hear anyone talking about them, despite the fact that they are tied for the 2nd best record in the NFL at 7-2.

LA has that same 7-2 record and they are getting all kinds of love. Mainly because no one saw this coming. Either way, I think it’s going to have the Vikings playing with a chip on their shoulder, as they look to send a message to the rest of the league that they are for real. This is also a huge game in terms of a potential first round bye in the playoffs.

The biggest thing for me in this matchup is I believe the Vikings have the talent defensively to slow down this high-powered Rams attack. Minnesota ranks 3rd in the NFL against the run (81.3 ypg) and are 12th against the pass (213.2 ypg). No one enjoys shutting down a great offense more than Zimmer, who is one of the brightest defensive minds in the game today. Since he took over at Minnesota, the Vikings are 11-2 ATS in 13 games against excellent passing teams, who average 260 or more yards/game through the air. They are also 8-1 ATS in 9 games against teams that average 375 or more total yards/game.

Another factor here that I think favors Minnesota is the Rams have kind of been on cruise control here of late. Each of their 4 games during their winning streak have been decided by 10 or more points. They haven’t been in a closely contest battle in more than a month. The Vikings on the other hand are team that’s got countless close wins under their resume over the last few seasons and my money is on them to find a way to win this game at home. Give me Minnesota -2!

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Nov 19, 2017
Ravens vs Packers
-2 -106 at betonline
Play Type: Premium


I believe the fact that Green Bay was able to pull out a victory in Chicago has provided some hope that the Packers aren’t completely done for without Rodgers. I’m not buying it, as I don’t think any player means more to their team than Rodgers. Let’s also not overlook the win came against the Bears, a team they know very well with them being in the same division, plus Chicago is a bad team.

I know the Ravens haven’t been playing great here of late, but this is a great spot to back them, as Baltimore is coming off of their bye. A big time advantage this late in the season. It’s also a spot in which they have excelled, as they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games off their bye week.

I also love this matchup for the Ravens, who are a top tier defensive team. Baltimore is 6th in the NFL in total defense, giving up just 311 yards/game. While the run defense hasn’t been great, Green Bay isn’t a strong running team and could be without their two best options out of the backfield. Aaron Jones had really come on strong for the Packers, but he’s out 3-6 weeks with an MCL injury and backup Ty Montgomery is questionable with a rib injury. That’s going to put too much pressure on Brett Hundley, who simply isn’t very good.

The big concern with Baltimore is their offense and rightfully so. The Ravens rank 30th out of 32 teams at just 286.6 ypg. However, this Packers defense is getting exposed now that they are being asked to do a lot more with the offense struggling to score. In Green Bay’s 3 games without Rodgers, the defense has allowed 408.3 ypg and 6.4 yards/play.

While the win over the Bears certainly helped keep this line from being more, I also think Green Bay is getting more respect than it deserves on their home field. Keep in mind we already have seen them lose badly at home in two games without Rodgers, falling 17-26 to the Saints and 17-30 to the Lions and that game against Detroit was on Monday Night Football, when you would expect the home field edge to be at it’s strongest. Give me the Ravens -2!


Brandon Lee has grown up learning the ins and outs of the sports betting industry, and is well known for his ability to bring home consistent winners in every sport he handicaps. Being a successful handicapper requires a lot of work, something that Brandon really takes pride in. If you are serious about bringing home a profit, take the time to see what this handicapper has to offer. You won't be disappointed!