Free Betting Advice

Stephen Nover Stephen Nover
I have had only two losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst.
Stephen Nover's AFC Game of the Month

Only twice in the last 26 years has long-time NFL guru Stephen Nover had a below .500 record. Stephen is off to a 63 percent start this year in the NFL. Profits keep rolling as Stephen has made his largest wager of the season on this AFC matchup making it his Max Unit AFC Game of the Month. Read why and take advantage of Stephen's expertise, elite information and powerhouse track record to earn a huge profit! 

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Stephen Nover's NFL Sunday Night TV Game of the Month

The Patriots and Seahawks go at it in the Sunday night game. Enjoy the game - and enjoy cashing a huge winning ticket courtesy of long-time NFL guru Stephen Nover. This is Stephen's strongest Sunday night NFL game. He won with the Rams last Sunday night and he'll win again this Sunday night. Backed by Stephen's expertise, top analysis and tremendous track record - 23 of 26 winning NFL seasons - you will finish your Sunday on a highly-profitable note!

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90 days All Sports subscription of Stephen Nover

This package gets you three months (90 Days) of all picks in all sports! 

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180 days All Sports subscription of Stephen Nover
This package gets you every play in every sport for a full 6 months! The ultimate package for maximum action and the biggest winners in the industry! 

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You'll learn how the pros make a living via sports betting with EVERY PLAY released over the next 365 days. 

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NCAA-F SUBSCRIPTIONS
One day NCAA-F of Stephen Nover

One day NCAA-F of Stephen Nover

No picks available.

College Football Season Subscription of Stephen Nover

College presents opportunities that the NFL doesn't where sometimes you can actually find line value. My record the last three years in college football is 109-86 for 56 percent. I've beaten the colleges the past three years by combining many handicapping factors such as matchup analysis, statistics, history, weather and situational elements. Information is the key. I'm fortunate that I have many sources to rely on. Many stem from having been a sportswriter/sports editor for daily newspapers in the Midwest, South and West for more than 20 years and having been the sports gaming writer for the Las Vegas Review-Journal for 13 years while also having covered the UNLV football team as the team beat writer for several years. I have the knowledge, experience and resources necessary to win. I've won the past three years and I expect to turn a tidy profit again this season.

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NHL SUBSCRIPTIONS
Stephen Nover's NHL Season/Stanley Cup Package

Stephen Nover has never had a losing hockey season and now - for the first time - is making his NHL selections available at this site. Take advantage and lock into a huge year-long profit with Stephen's Season hockey package where you'll get every one of his premium regular season and Stanley Cup plays at a huge discounted package price. 

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NBA SUBSCRIPTIONS
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#4 ranked NBA handicapper this season!

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MLB SUBSCRIPTIONS
2020 MLB Season Subscription
Currently on a 5-4 MLB run since 09/15/20.

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FOOTBALL [NFL+NCAAF] SUBSCRIPTIONS
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Stephen Nover's All-Access NFL/CFB

Get all of Stephen Nover's football plays - NFL and college - at a discounted monthly price. Stephen has turned a profit in 20 of the last 22 years in the NFL and has beaten college football the past three years, including cashing 78 percent of his bowl plays this past season. Don't miss a single football winner at a special discounted monthly price. 

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Lock into a top season value by getting all of Stephen Nover's NFL and college football plays. 

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NFL SUBSCRIPTIONS
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7-Day NFL Subscription of Stephen Nover

Get 7 days of every premium NFL pick with this subscription option! It's a great way to get started, plus, you are GUARANTEED TO WIN or you get another 7 days FREE! Stephen was the No. 1 NFL 'capper in 2012 cashing 69 percent!

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Get every NFL release for a full 30 days and you're bankroll will be better than ever!  

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FULL Season NFL Subscription

Stephen Nover is one of the most respected NFL handicappers in North American with the record to back it up: 371-302 for 55 percent during the last eight years. All of Stephen's plays come with his trademark deep and unique analysis. Stephen is a multiple Rotisserie league football champion and was an award-winning sportswriter for the Las Vegas Review-Journal for 13 years. He also worked for the legendary linesmaker Roxy Roxbury, who was the top oddsmaker in North America before retiring. Don't miss out. Lock in now and get all of Stephen's plays at a top value price.

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Sep 19, 2020
Celtics vs Heat
OVER 206 -110 Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

Understandably this is playoff basketball so totals are going to be low. But the Celtics aren't playing the Raptors here. Miami isn't the defensive team that Toronto was. 

 The Celtics are sure to be fired-up after blowing huge leads in the first two games to fall behind 0-2. If Boston builds up another big lead it won't coast. The Celtics will stay on the attack. There's also the chance Gordon Hayward makes his series debut. That would give Boston a legitimate fourth scoring weapon to go with Jaylen Brown, Jayson Tatum and Kemba Walker, who shot much better in Game 2.  The Heat defense got through the Bucks because Milwaukee lacked a quickness advantage. The Heat don't have that edge on the Celtics. Miami, though, has been getting the needed contributions from players besides Jimmy Butler. The Heat scored 106 in the last game despite Butler shooting just 4-of-11 from the floor and scoring a meager 14 points. Miami's motion-laden offense has been successful exploiting Walker's weak defense.  The Heat have averaged 109.7 points in regulation during their last seven games facing the Celtics and Bucks, who gave up the eighth-fewest points and ranked first in defensive field goal percentage during the regular season.   If the Heat are able to build up a big lead, I could envision a bubbling-over frustrated Celtics team committing a lot of fouls.   
Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Sep 19, 2020
Stars vs Lightning
OVER 5 -130 Tie
Play Type: Premium

Tampa Bay is the better team, but I'm not going to buck the hot Stars especially since the Lightning have a short turnaround after their Thursday overtime victory against the Islanders to clinch that series.

 So instead of getting involved with a side, I'm going the total route where I see each team producing at least two goals apiece.  I highly doubt backup Stars goalie Anton Khudobin can repeat the magic he did against the Golden Knights when he stopped 153 of 161 shots for a .950 save percentage.  The Lightning have a more potent attack than Las Vegas and they have their top playoff scorer, Brayden Point, back in the lineup. There's even the outside chance Steven Stamkos could suit up. He has yet to play during the Stanley Cup.  Tampa Bay is averaging 3.3 goals during the playoffs. This is in line with the regular season when the Lightning led the NHL in scoring at 3.5 goals per game. The Lightning has three attacking lines and scoring depth up and down their roster.  Dallas has shown it can play and win with a wide open style. The Stars took out the Avalanche in that fashion. It wouldn't surprise me if the well-rested Stars came out super aggressive to take advantage of Tampa Bay's fatigue issue. 
     
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 19, 2020
Syracuse vs Pittsburgh
Syracuse
+21 -105 at YouWager
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

I don't want to overreact to these team's opening games. Pittsburgh destroyed Austin Peay while Syracuse got buried in the fourth quarter by North Carolina. 

 But I do keep in mind that Austin Peay isn't a Division I team while North Carolina is a top-25 team.  So Pittsburgh definitely is stepping up in class. I don't trust Pittsburgh coach Pat Narduzzi to cover a big margin because I'm never sold on his offenses and I'm not a fan of Pitt QB Kenny Pickett. The Panthers also have a bad record as home chalk - 8-19 ATS the past 27 times in that role.  I recall last September when Pittsburgh hosted Delaware. The Panthers were 27 1/2-point favorites. It took a fourth quarter touchdown for the Panthers to eke out a 17-14 victory.  I expect Syracuse to play a full four quarters, something it didn't against North Carolina. The Orangemen were hanging in through three quarters in that matchup before the game got out of hand. 
 
  
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 19, 2020
#Houston vs #Baylor
UNDER 61½ -110 P
Play Type: Premium
If this were mid-season, I could see justification for this high of a total. But it's not. It's the season-opener for both teams. I don't see either team being in rhythm due to the disruption of the season and changing programs.  Houston is in its second year under Dana Holgorsen. The Cougars experienced a rebuilding year last season. Their defense should be much improved due to an influx of transfers.  I don't like Houston QB Clayton Tune. He replaces D'Eriq King, who transferred to Miami. Tune had just an 11-to-9 touchdown-to-interception ratio last year. He faces a Baylor defense that was an elite unit last season. The Bears did lose several starters from their defense, but have back leading tackler Terrel Bernard.  Defensive guru Dave Aranda is the Bears' new head coach replacing Matt Rhule. Most of Baylor's returning starters are on defense. Charlie Brewer is a solid QB. It's going to take a while, though, for Baylor to get in sync offensively. 
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 19, 2020
UL-Lafayette vs Georgia State
Georgia State
+16½ -120 at betonline
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium
Louisiana Lafayette cracked The Associated Press Top 25 for the first time since 1943 after upsetting Iowa State, 31-14, as 13 1/2-point road 'dogs. That's heady stuff. But it also puts the Cajuns in a tough spot this week laying more than two touchdowns on the road to Sun Belt Conference rival Georgia State. The Panthers are respectable having gone to a bowl two of the last three years under coach Shawn Elliott. They opened with a victory against Tennessee of the SEC last season on their way to a winning record. The Panthers have 16 starters back. Not to diminish the Cajuns' huge upset of the Cyclones, but they did score touchdowns on a 95-yard kickoff return and 83-yard punt return. 
 
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 19, 2020
Central Florida vs Georgia Tech
Central Florida
-7½ -100 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium
Central Florida has been one of the most impressive teams in the country during the last three seasons going 35-4 while covering 64 percent of its away contests during this time frame. The Knights are proven road warriors covering 14 of their last 18 away matchups, winning 10 road games by more than a touchdown during this three-year span. The Knights start out fast, too, going 9-0 ATS during the first three games of the season the last three years.  The Knights draw Georgia Tech, which is playing a non-conference game here. The Yellow Jackets opened their season upsetting fellow ACC foe, Florida State, 16-13 on the road as nearly two-touchdown 'dogs. So this is a potential flat spot and letdown spot for Georgia Tech. Not to take anything away from Georgia Tech, but Florida State did not play well.  Central Florida has a much stronger offense than Georgia Tech, which still is in rebuild mode under second-year coach Geoff Collins. 
PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 20, 2020
Giants vs Bears
Giants
+5½ -105 at YouWager
Play Type: Premium
The Bears haven't won their first two games of the season in seven years. They were lucky to get past the Lions opening week rallying from a 23-6 deficit. The Bears launched their comeback after the Lions' top three cornerbacks all went out of the game with injuries.  I remain unimpressed with Mitchell Trubisky. He only plays well against the Lions and he stunk for three quarters. The Giants' defense has improved especially in the defensive line.   The Lions bashed the Bears for 151 yards rushing. So Saquon Barkley should be in for a big game. The Bears are missing run-stuffing nose tackle Eddie Goldman, who opted out of the season, and their best pass rushers (Khalil Mack and Robert Quinn) are both banged-up. Daniel Jones set a rookie record with 18 touchdowns on the road last season. The Giants are expected to get back Golden Tate, too.  The Giants have been excellent as road 'dogs covering 10 of the last 12 times in that role. The Bears have been one of the poorer point spread teams going 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games.
Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 20, 2020
Panthers vs Bucs
OVER 47½ -104
Play Type: Premium

There were 64 points scored in Carolina's 34-30 opening week loss to the Raiders. Those kinds of Overs are going to be typical in Panthers games this season. Carolina has the worst defense in the league and an up-tempo offense with the top all-purpose back in the NFL, Christian McCaffrey. That combination is going to produce a lot of Overs. 

 Tom Brady and his left tackle Donovan Smith didn't play well opening week against the Saints on the road. Now the Buccaneers drop well down in class. Those two are in good position to atone for their poor performances.  Brady and his bevy of high-caliber receivers should light up an inexperienced Panthers defense that allowed game-manager type Derek Carr to have an 8.0 YPA and failed to record not only  a sack, but failed to even get a quarterback hit. The Raiders hadn't scored that many points in their last 29 games. Brady is most comfortable in the pocket. He shouldn't be bothered. Brady with time still is a high level quarterback.  Carolina should contribute to this total going Over, too. The Panthers have an aggressive spread-the-ball around passing approach and a new deep threat, Robby Anderson. McCaffrey is a major plus because defenses key on him rather than quarterback Teddy Bridgewater. 
 
Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 20, 2020
Panthers vs Bucs
Bucs
-9 -105 at sportsbook
Play Type: Premium

The Buccaneers have the skill position pieces to bury a terrible Carolina defense. 

 The Panthers lost their No. 1 cornerback James Bradberry in the offseason and their projected No. 2 cornerback, Elie Apple, is on IR. Carolina also was without cornerback Donte Jackson opening week. The Panthers are left with an inexperienced, makeshift secondary that includes special teams player Troy Pride at corner.  Savvy Tom Brady should pick apart this weak defensive backfield especially since he'll likely have plenty of time to throw. Carolina did not even get a quarterback hit on Derek Carr in surrendering 34 points to the Raiders last week. The Raiders hadn't scored that many points in two years.  While the Panthers have the worst defense in the league, the Buccaneers have one of the best. Tampa Bay ranked No. 1 in stopping the run last season. That's extremely bad news for the Panthers, who heavily rely on running back Christian McCaffrey.  Bruce Arians was not happy with the play of Brady, offensive left tackle Donovan Smith and his special teams. I expect those areas will be cleaned up in what shapes up to be a Tampa Bay kill spot. 
  
SERVICE BIO

Sports gaming writer for Las Vegas Review-Journal 1984-1997. Professional handicapper since 1999. Author of three books - Las Vegas Sportsbeat, Sportsgaming Beat, Winning Fantasy Football. Taught sports betting at UNLV. Former co-host of the Sunday Night Stardust Line sports gaming radio show. Was part-time oddsmaker and analyst for Roxy Roxborough. Recognized NFL expert with 21 of 23 winning seasons.