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FREE PICKS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 18, 2019
Tigers vs. Indians
Indians
-192
  at  5DIMES
in 5h

1* Free MLB Pick on Cleveland Indians -192

I got no problem laying some big juice with the Indians on Thursday. Cleveland will host Detroit, who they have already beat 3 times in their 4-game series and 10 in a row overall. Not only are the Indians beating up on the Tigers, they are one of the hottest teams in the league. Indians are 10-2 in their last 12 and are all of the sudden just 4-games back of the Twins for the top spot in the AL Central. 

Detroit's offense has gone ice-cold, scoring just 2 runs on 9 hits in their last 2 games. That's a good sign that we will get a strong outing here from Indians starter Trevor Bauer, who is coming off a really strong outing. Last time out, Bauer allowed just 3 runs in 6 innings, while striking out 11. 

Tigers will turn to Matt Boyd, who was one of the big surprises early on in 2019. Boyd still has a respectable 3.95 ERA and 1.140 WHIP in 19 starts, but he's been struggling for the last month plus. Boyd has allowed 28 runs in his last 7 starts after giving up just 24 in his first 12 starts. He gave up 5 runs in his last start against the Indians on 6/21. Take Cleveland! 

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
WNBA  |  Jul 17, 2019
Wings vs Mercury
Mercury
-7½ +100 at betonline
Lost
$100.0
Play Type: Premium

4* WNBA - No Doubt ATS NO-BRAINER on Mercury -7½ +100

I like the Mercury to lay it on the Wings tonight. Dallas is the ideal to fade on the road. The Wings haven't won a game away from home at 0-7. They are also just 2-13 ATS in road games over the month of July and 1-9 in their last 10 on the road when they come in having lost 4 of 5 against the spread. 

Last time out Phoenix was a dog Minnesota and have failed to cover 4 of their last 5. Both of these are great for backing the Mercury tonight, as they are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 after being listed as a dog in their previous game and a perfect 6-0 ATS last 6 after failing to cover 4 of 5. Take Phoenix! 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 17, 2019
Mets vs Twins
Mets
+156 at 5Dimes
Won
$156
Play Type: Free

1* Free MLB Pick on New York Mets +156

Absolutely love the value here with the Mets as a huge road dog against the Twins. New York won the opener of this short two-game series on Tuesday 3-2 and have won 3 straight overall. I get Minnesota is the better team, but the price is too good to pass up. 

Twins starter Martin Perez comes in with a solid looking 7-3 record to go with a 3.95 ERA and 1.269 WHIP in 15 starts. However, Perez is trending in the wrong direction. He just posted a 5.08 ERA over 5 starts in June and in his only outing so far in July, he allowed 4 runs at home to the Rangers. 

Mets will send out Jason Vargas, who is every bit as good as Perez. Vargas has a 3.81 ERA and 1.269 WHIP in 15 starts. What I love is how well Vargas has pitched against the Twins. In his last 4 starts against the Twins he's 3-0 with a 0.78 ERA. 

New York is a strong 13-9 over the last 2 seasons as an underdog of +150 to +200. Twins are now 3-7 in their last 10 at home vs a team with a poor road record .400 or worse and 0-6 in their last 6 interleague games vs a left-handed starter. Take New York! 

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Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 17, 2019
White Sox vs Royals
White Sox
+120 at 5Dimes
Lost
$100.0
Play Type: Premium

3* MLB - Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on White Sox +120

I like Chicago to snap their 5-game losing streak and get that elusive first win since returning from the All-Star break. This is a big time revenge spot for the White Sox, as they were utterly embarrassed in yesterday's 11-0 loss to KC, where the Royals jumped out to an early lead and just kept laying it on them. 

The numbers aren't great for Chicago's Ivan Nova, but he has pitched better on the road in 2019 and while the Royals offense was great on Tuesday, they are not a good offensive team. Also, even if Nova doesn't pitch great, there's a good chance the White Sox score a bunch here against Danny Duffy, who has a 5.28 ERA and 1.695 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take Chicago! 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 17, 2019
Giants vs Rockies
Giants
+163 at 5Dimes
Won
$163
Play Type: Premium

4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Giants +163

This is just too good a price on the Giants. San Francisco has won the first 3 games of the series with Colorado, outscoring the Rockies 37-10 in the process. Giants are 5-1 since returning from the All-Star break and this is a team that went into the break playing their best baseball. SF has won 11 of their last 13. 

Rockies will have Jon Gray on the mound and while he's one of their better starters, he's just 1-3 with a 4.38 ERA and 1.513 WHIP in 8 career starts against the Giants. SF is 16-5 in their last 21 games vs a starter with a WHIP of 1.30 or more and Gray's is right on the 1.30 mark. Giants have won 7 straight against a division opponent and will make it 8 in a row tonight. Take San Francisco! 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 17, 2019
Pirates vs Cardinals
Pirates
+117 at 5Dimes
Lost
$100.0
Play Type: Top Premium

5* MLB - Early Bird NO LIMIT Top Play on Pirates +117

Pittsburgh snapped a 4-game losing streak with a 3-1 win over the Cardinals on Tuesday and I like them to build off that with another win on Wednesday. Pittsburgh will send out Chris Archer. The 2019 numbers aren't great for Archer, but he's got a strong history against St Louis, posting a 2.76 ERA in 3 starts. 

Pittsburgh is 6-1 in their last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game and St Louis is a mere 2-10 in their last 12 after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less and 2-12 in their last 14 after a game with a combined score of 4 or less. Take Pittsburgh! 

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 18, 2019
Padres vs Marlins
Marlins
+109 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Premium

4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Marlins +109

I really like this spot and price with Miami at home against the Padres. Marlins will have the vastly underrated Caleb Smith on the mound. Smith is one of the top targets contenders are trying to acquire before the trade deadline. Miami has stated they aren't going to trade Smith, but he's got to want to pitch well incase it increases his chances of getting out of that crap franchise. 

Smith is 5-4 with a 3.23 ERA and 1.038 WHIP in 14 starts. Strong numbers if that's all you were going off. However, the real key here is how well Smith has thrown the rock at Marlins Park. He's 4-1 with a 1.53 ERA and 0.962 WHIP in 6 home starts. 

Padres will counter with Dinelson Lamet, who didn't make his first start until July 4th and will be making only his 3rd start when he takes the mound today. First two have been pretty so-so, as Lament has allowed 7 runs on 8 hits and 4 walks in 10 innings (6.30 ERA). I'll take my chances the Marlins offense provides us enough here for the win. Take Miami! 

SERVICE BIO

Boyd is a former collegiate golfer and University of Iowa Law grad that ensures you success in every sport he covers. Jimmy's quality sports selections with game-breaking analysis make him a major force in the handicapping industry for years to come.

No Brainer: This is one of Jimmy’s highest rated plays. After reading his write-up on the game you will see why this play’s title is so fitting. These picks are reserved for major mismatch advantages and strong value plays.

Heavy Hitter: Jimmy’s Heavy Hitter plays are backed by a wealth of statistical analysis and fit into one or more of his many winning systems. This is the well-rounded gem of Jimmy’s top plays, and it covers games from every angle.

Vegas Insider: Nobody spots a winning system like Jimmy Boyd. His Vegas Insider label is reserved for plays backed by the strongest systems and trends on the board.

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