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Jack Jones Jack Jones
No. 3 Ranked Football Capper in 2017! (#4 NFL, #12 NCAAF) Jack Jones has LOWERED THE PRICE of all of his football packages! Get Jack's 2017 NFL & CFB Season Pass COMBO below and SAVE $200.00!
20* Rams/Vikings NFC Sunday No-Brainer! (59-38 NFL Run)

No. 3 Ranked Football Capper in 2017! Jack Jones has put together a MASSIVE 813-692 Football Run long-term! That includes a 137-95 Run on his last 232 football plays, including a HOT 83-56 Run on the gridiron over the last nine weeks!

No. 4 Ranked NFL Capper in 2017! Jack Jones is riding a 59-38 NFL Run over his last 96 releases! That includes a HOT 28-17 Run L9 Weeks on the pro gridiron!

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*This package includes 1 NFL Spread pick

Jack's Sunday NFL 3-Play Power Pack! (#4 NFL Capper, 59-38 NFL Run)

No. 3 Ranked Football Capper in 2017! Jack Jones has put together a MASSIVE 813-692 Football Run long-term! That includes a 137-95 Run on his last 232 football plays, including a HOT 83-56 Run on the gridiron over the last nine weeks!

No. 4 Ranked NFL Capper in 2017! Jack Jones is riding a 59-38 NFL Run over his last 96 releases! That includes a HOT 28-17 Run L9 Weeks on the pro gridiron!

This money train stays right on track with Jack's Sunday NFL 3-Play Power Pack for $59.95! Leading the charge is his 25* NBC Sunday Night GAME OF THE YEAR in the Eagles/Cowboys game!

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*This package includes 3 NFL Spread picks

15* Bills/Chargers AFC Late-Afternoon ANNIHILATOR! (59-38 NFL Run)

No. 3 Ranked Football Capper in 2017! Jack Jones has put together a MASSIVE 813-692 Football Run long-term! That includes a 137-95 Run on his last 232 football plays, including a HOT 83-56 Run on the gridiron over the last nine weeks!

No. 4 Ranked NFL Capper in 2017! Jack Jones is riding a 59-38 NFL Run over his last 96 releases! That includes a HOT 28-17 Run L9 Weeks on the pro gridiron!

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*This package includes 1 NFL Spread pick

25* NBC Sunday Night GAME OF THE YEAR! (Eagles/Cowboys, 6-1 25* Run)

No. 3 Ranked Football Capper in 2017! Jack Jones has put together a MASSIVE 813-692 Football Run long-term! That includes a 137-95 Run on his last 232 football plays, including a HOT 83-56 Run on the gridiron over the last nine weeks!

No. 4 Ranked NFL Capper in 2017! Jack Jones is riding a 59-38 NFL Run over his last 96 releases! That includes a HOT 28-17 Run L9 Weeks on the pro gridiron! He is also on a 6-1 NFL 25* Run since September 24th!

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*This package includes 1 NFL Spread pick

20* Falcons/Seahawks ESPN Monday No-Brainer! (59-38 NFL Run)

No. 3 Ranked Football Capper in 2017! Jack Jones has put together a MASSIVE 813-692 Football Run long-term! That includes a 137-95 Run on his last 232 football plays, including a HOT 83-56 Run on the gridiron over the last nine weeks!

No. 4 Ranked NFL Capper in 2017! Jack Jones is riding a 59-38 NFL Run over his last 96 releases! That includes a HOT 28-17 Run L9 Weeks on the pro gridiron!

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*This package includes 1 NFL Spread pick

ALL SPORTS SUBSCRIPTIONS
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*This subscription includes 3 NFL picks

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*This subscription includes 4 NFL picks

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*This subscription includes 4 NFL picks

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*This subscription includes 4 NFL picks

NCAA-F SUBSCRIPTIONS
Jack Jones 2017-18 College Football Season Pass! (431-335 CFB Run)

Jack Jones has put together THREE TOP-8 College Football Finishes L5 Years (#3 in 2012-13, #4 in 2014-15, #8 in 2016-17) to really put a beating on the books on the NCAA gridiron!

No. 3 Ranked Football Capper in 2017! Jack Jones has put together a MASSIVE 813-689 Football Run long-term! That includes a 137-92 Run on his last 229 football plays, including a HOT 83-53 Run on the gridiron over the last nine weeks!

No. 8 Ranked College Football Capper in 2017! Jack is riding a 431-335 CFB Run long-term that has seen his $1,0000/game players cash in OVER $70,000! He has posted a 51-37 CFB Record this season alone!

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No picks available.

NCAA-B SUBSCRIPTIONS
Jack Jones 2017-18 College Hoops Season Pass! (4 Top 10 CBB L6 Years)

No. 1 Ranked Basketball Capper All-Time! Check the long-term results and you'll see that Jack Jones has put together a MASSIVE 1,618-1,397 Hoops Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in a WHOPPING $121,220! You can look, but you won't find better!

FOUR Top 10 College Basketball Finishes L6 Years! Jack Jones finished ranked as the #3 CBB Capper in 2011, #5 in 2012, #2 in 2013 and #9 in 2015! He has put together a 727-634 CBB Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $45,720!

Crush your book all year long on the NCAA hardwood by signing up for Jack's 2017-18 College Hoops Season Pass for $599.95! This package will earn you all of his CBB premium plays from today through the NCAA Tournament in March/April!

No picks available.

NBA SUBSCRIPTIONS
Jack Jones 2017-18 NBA Season Pass! (#3 NBA All-Time)

No. 1 Ranked Basketball Capper All-Time! Check the long-term results and you'll see that Jack Jones has put together a MASSIVE 1,618-1,397 Hoops Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in a WHOPPING $121,220! You can look, but you won't find better!

No. 3 Ranked NBA Capper All-Time! Jack Jones has put together a 1,314-1,139 NBA Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $90,870! He is a 3-Time Top 10 NBA Capper, including the No. 1 NBA Capper in 2012-13!

Crush your book on the pro hardwood all year long by signing up for Jack's 2017-18 NBA Season Pass for $599.95! You'll receive every NBA premium play Jack releases from today through the 2018 NBA Finals in June!

No picks available.

BASKETBALL [NBA+NCAAB] SUBSCRIPTIONS
Jack Jones 2017-18 NBA & CBB Season Pass COMBO! (#1 BBall All-Time)

No. 1 Ranked Basketball Capper All-Time! Check the long-term results and you'll see that Jack Jones has put together a MASSIVE 1,618-1,397 Hoops Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in a WHOPPING $121,220! You can look, but you won't find better!

FOUR Top-5 Basketball Finishes L6 Years! Jack finished ranked as the #5 Hoops Capper in 2011, #1 in 2012, #2 in 2013 and #5 in 2015! You simply won't find a more consistent basketball capper!

Sign up for Jack's 2017-18 NBA & CBB Season Pass COMBO for $899.95 and win all season long on the hardwood! It would cost you roughly $1,200 to buy his CBB ($599.95) & NBA ($599.95) season passes separately, so YOU SAVE $300.00 with this combo package!

You'll receive every basketball premium play Jack releases from today through the 2018 NBA Finals in June!

No picks available.

FOOTBALL [NFL+NCAAF] SUBSCRIPTIONS
Jack Jones 2017-18 NFL & CFB Season Pass COMBO! (#3 Football Capper)

Jack Jones has put together THREE TOP-8 College Football Finishes L5 Years (#3 in 2012-13, #4 in 2014-15, #8 in 2016-17) to really put a beating on the books on the NCAA gridiron!

No. 3 Ranked Football Capper in 2017! Jack Jones has put together a MASSIVE 813-689 Football Run long-term! That includes a 137-92 Run on his last 229 football plays, including a HOT 83-53 Run on the gridiron over the last nine weeks!

No. 4 Ranked NFL Capper in 2017! Jack Jones is riding a 59-37 NFL Run over his last 96 releases! That includes a HOT 28-16 Run L8 Weeks on the pro gridiron!

No. 8 Ranked College Football Capper in 2017! Jack is riding a 431-335 CFB Run long-term that has seen his $1,0000/game players cash in OVER $70,000! He has posted a 51-37 CFB Record this season alone!

Come get your hands on his 2017-18 NFL & CFB Season Pass COMBO for $649.95! It would COST YOU $850 to buy his NFL ($399.95) and CFB ($449.95) season passes separately, so YOU SAVE $200.00 with this combo pass!

This package will earn you all of his NFL & CFB picks THROUGH SUPER BOWL 52!

*This subscription includes 4 NFL picks

NFL SUBSCRIPTIONS
Jack Jones 2017-18 NFL Season Pass! (#4 NFL Capper)

No. 3 Ranked Football Capper in 2017! Jack Jones has put together a MASSIVE 813-689 Football Run long-term! That includes a 137-92 Run on his last 229 football plays, including a HOT 83-53 Run on the gridiron over the last nine weeks!

No. 4 Ranked NFL Capper in 2017! Jack Jones is riding a 59-37 NFL Run over his last 96 releases! That includes a HOT 28-16 Run L8 Weeks on the pro gridiron!

Crush your book all year long on the pro gridiron by signing up for Jack's 2017-18 NFL Season Pass for $399.95! This package will earn you all of his NFL releases from today through the Super Bowl in February!

*This subscription includes 4 NFL picks

FREE PICKS
Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Nov 19, 2017
Chiefs vs. Giants
Chiefs
-10½ +100
  at  GTBETS
in 7h

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Kansas City Chiefs -10.5

Andy Reid is 16-2 SU & 13-5 ATS in his last 18 games off a bye.  It is well documented that he is the best coach in the NFL in getting his team to respond off a bye.  And the Chiefs will already be a motivated squad anyway after losing three of their last four games coming into the bye.

The New York Giants have clearly been lacking motivation, and it appears they just want their season to be over.  The Giants are 1-8 on the season with three straight double-digit losses.  They lost 24-7 at home to Seattle, 51-17 at home to the Rams and 21-31 on the road to the 49ers.

The Giants' defense has given up a whopping 82 points in their last two games, and it's clear the defense has quit.  I've seen tape of their last two games where I could see defenders purposely avoiding tackles, instead letting guys on the Rams and 49ers score.  It's a sight to see, and Ben McAdoo has clearly lost control of this team.

I think many of the younger teams in the NFL like the 49ers and Browns will keep playing hard despite their poor record.  I don't think the same can be said for the Giants, who are a veteran team and are just more concerned with collecting a paycheck.  I just don't trust this team at all right now.

That's why I'm not afraid to lay double-digits on the road with the Chiefs here, which is something I rarely do. The mindset of these teams couldn't be more opposite coming into this game.  I think you'll know you have a winner by halftime here with the Chiefs already up by double-digits and coasting from there.

Kansas City is 9-0 ATS in road games vs. bad defensive teams that give up 24 or more points per game over the past three seasons.  The Chiefs are 10-2 ATS as road favorites over the last three seasons.  Kansas City is 7-1 ATS in its last eight games following an ATS loss, and 6-1 ATS in its last seven games following a straight up loss.  Bet the Chiefs Sunday.

No. 3 Ranked Football Capper in 2017! Jack Jones has put together a MASSIVE 813-690 Football Run long-term! That includes a 137-93 Run on his last 230 football plays, including a HOT 83-54 Run on the gridiron over the last nine weeks!

No. 4 Ranked NFL Capper in 2017! Jack Jones is riding a 59-37 NFL Run over his last 96 releases! That includes a HOT 28-16 Run L8 Weeks on the pro gridiron!

This money train stays right on track with Jack's Sunday NFL 3-Play Power Pack for $59.95! Leading the charge is his 25* NBC Sunday Night GAME OF THE YEAR in the Eagles/Cowboys game!

Knowing you get this top play alone makes this package worth the price of admission! But you'll also receive his 20* Rams/Vikings NFC No-Brainer along with his 15* Bills/Chargers AFC Late-Afternoon ANNIHILATOR upon purchase!

Sign up and bet with confidence knowing you are GUARANTEED PROFITS or Monday NFL is ON JACK!

YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 18, 2017
Rockets vs Grizzlies
UNDER 214½ -104 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

15* NBA Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Rockets/Grizzlies UNDER 214.5

Amazingly, the Memphis Grizzlies and Houston Rockets will already be playing for a fourth and final time this season.  Familiarity favors defense, which is why I really like this UNDER tonight in their fourth meeting. 

It’s easy to see that this total has been inflated when you look at the results of the three previous meetings.  The Grizzlies and Rockets have combined for 188, 192 and 207 points in those three meetings.   

That’s an average of just 195.7 combined points per game, which is roughly 19 points less than tonight’s posted total of 214.5.  We’re essentially getting 19 points of value.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 18, 2017
Kings vs Blazers
UNDER 199 -110 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

15* Kings/Blazers NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on UNDER 199

The Portland Trail Blazers and Sacramento Kings are playing a home-and-home situation here.  They just played last night with the Kings upsetting the Blazers 86-82 as 7-point home dogs. 

I always like backing the UNDER in the second game of these home-and-home situations because familiarity favors defense.  And after they combined for just 168 points last night, I don’t know how the oddsmakers can justify setting this total at 199 a night later.  I think there’s all kinds of value with the UNDER here, especially with how poor the Kings have been offensively this season and how good the Blazers have been defensively. 

Note: I locked this line in at 199 as soon as I could, and it has dropped quite a bit since the opener.  I would still recommend a bet on the UNDER all the way down to 193.   Take the UNDER in this game Saturday.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 18, 2017
Navy vs Notre Dame
Navy
+18 -110 at betonline
Won
$100
Play Type: Free

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Navy +18

I certainly question Notre Dame's motivation this week after they came up woefully short in their 'game of the year' last week at Miami.  They lost 41-8 to the Hurricanes in a complete no-show.  Had they won that game, they would have been in line to make the four-team playoff.  But now those dreams are crushed, and it's going to be hard for them to get back up off the mat in time to face a pesky Navy team this week.

This is a Navy team that will fight you for four quarters, and I'm not sure Notre Dame will be ready for that kind of fight.  This is one of many great Navy teams under Ken Niumatalolo, who would have a bigger job elsewhere by now if he didn't love it at Navy so much.  His players certainly go to war for him every week.

The Midshipmen have gone 6-3 this season, and they were competitive in all three losses.  They only lost 27-30 at Memphis as 3.5-point dogs, lost 21-31 at UCF as 10-point dogs, and lost 26-34 at Temple as 6-point favorites.  Memphis is 8-1 this season, UCF is 9-0, and Temple is playing its best football of the year.

Following those three consecutive losses, Navy bounced back with a 43-40 win over an upstart SMU team.  I think the fact that that final score was close is keeping this line higher than it should be.  But it really wasn't as close as the final score as Navy led 34-11 at halftime and outgained the Mustangs by 133 yards.  The Midshipmen rushed for a whopping 559 yards in the win.

Both teams love rely almost exclusively on the run to move the football, which will help shorten the game and keep Navy in it.  Navy averages 370 rushing yards per game while Notre averages 303.  But it's worth nothing that the Fighting Irish's leading rusher Josh Adams got hurt against Miami last week and may not be at 100%. That puts even more pressure on shaky QB Brandon Wimbush and the Notre Dame offense. 

Navy has been decent at stopping the run, giving up 166 rushing yards per game and 4.7 per carry against teams that average 212 yards per game and 5.0 per carry this season, holding them to 46 yards per game less than their season averages.  Notre Dame is only holding opponents to 35 rushing yards per game less than their season averages.  The weakness of Navy's defense is through the air, but Notre Dame won't be able to exploit it because they only average 52% completions and 168 passing yards per game.

Navy is 14-3 ATS in its last 17 games off a close win by 3 points or less.  Notre Dame is 1-11 ATS in its last 12 home games after trailing its previous game by 17 points or more at halftime.  The Fighting Irish are 0-6 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) over the last two seasons. 

Each of the last four meetings were decided by 17 points or less.  Navy has only lost twice in the last 10 meetings to Notre Dame by more than 17 points.  The road team is 17-5 ATS in the last 22 meetings.  The Midshipmen are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 trips to South Bend.  Bet Navy Saturday.

Jack Jones has put together THREE TOP-8 College Football Finishes L5 Years (#3 in 2012-13, #4 in 2014-15, #8 in 2016-17) to really put a beating on the books on the NCAA gridiron!

No. 3 Ranked Football Capper in 2017! Jack Jones has put together a MASSIVE 813-692 Football Run long-term! That includes a 137-95 Run on his last 232 football plays, including a HOT 83-56 Run on the gridiron over the last nine weeks!

No. 12 Ranked College Football Capper in 2017! Jack is riding a 431-337 CFB Run long-term that has seen his $1,0000/game players cash in OVER $70,000! He has posted a 51-39 CFB Record this season alone!

This money train stays right on track with Jack's Saturday College Football 5-Pack for $59.95! Leading the charge is his ONE & ONLY 25* ACC GAME OF THE YEAR along with his 20* Big Ten GAME OF THE WEEK as his two featured top plays! You'll also receive three 15* plays upon purchase!

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Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 18, 2017
Central Florida vs Temple
Temple
+14 -110 at 5Dimes
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

15* UCF/Temple AAC Early ANNIHILATOR on Temple +14

I backed the UCF Knights regularly early in the season.  They did not disappoint as they opened 6-0 SU & 6-0 ATS, consistently covering the spread by big margins.  But then the betting public caught on and the oddsmakers had to really over-adjust, and as a result we've seen the Knights fail to cover the spread in their last two games.

After beating Austin Peay 73-33 with no line, UCF came back and only beat SMU 31-24 as 14.5-point road favorites two weeks ago.  Then last week, they only beat a terrible UConn team 49-24 as 38-point favorites.  UConn was playing with a backup quarterback for the first time this season in that game as well.  Now they're being asked to go on the road and lay two touchdowns against an vastly improved Temple team from the start of the season.

Indeed, the Owls are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.  Oddsmakers have consistently missed the mark on them down the stretch.  They only lost 13-20 to Houston as 11.5-point dogs, won 34-10 at ECU as 3.5-point favorites, suffered a fluky loss at 8-2 Army 28-31 as 7-point dogs in overtime, beat Navy 34-26 as 6-point dogs and topped Cincinnati 35-24 as 2.5-point road favorites last week.  Their only ATS loss came to UConn 24-28, but that was a very misleading final as they outgained the Huskies by 225 yards and clearly should have won.

In fact, the Owls have now outgained five straight opponents by a combined 633 total yards, or by an average of 126.6 yards per game.  That's why I think we can ignore Temple's early season struggles because this is a completely different team now.  This is a team capable of hanging with and upsetting UCF thanks to an average that has come to life, averaging 31 points and 464.8 yards per game in their last five games.  

The catalyst has been QB Frank Nutile, who replaced Logan Marchi three games ago.  Nutile has completed 62 of 91 (68.1%) of his passes for 803 yards and a 6-to-2 TD/INT ratio in his past three games.  The Owls have also been much improved defensively in conference play, giving up just 25.2 points, 349.0 yards per game and 5.0 yards per play in AAC action.

This is a clear lookahead spot for the UCF Knights.  They have a game on deck against South Florida next week that is going to decide who wins the AAC East division and moves on to face Memphis in the AAC Championship Game.  The winner of that game will also likely be the coveted Group of 5 selection for a big bowl game against a Power 5 opponent.  I can't help but think the Knights have to be thinking more about the USF game and not paying enough attention to Temple this week.

Temple is 8-1 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last two seasons.  The Owls are 13-2 ATS in their last 15 conference games.  Temple is 9-1 ATS in the second half of the season over the last two seasons.  The Owls are finishing strong for a second consecutive season.  Don't be surprised if they pull off the upset this weekend, though we'll take the inflated 14 points for some added insurance.  Take Temple Saturday.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 18, 2017
UL-Monroe vs Auburn
UL-Monroe
+37 -110 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

15* CFB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Louisiana-Monroe +37

Talk about the spot of all spots.  Auburn couldn't be in a worse sandwich spot then it is this week.  After upsetting No. 1 Georgia last week and knocking the Bulldogs clear down to No. 7 in the playoff rankings, Auburn now has an even bigger game on deck against current No. 1 Alabama next week in the Iron Bowl.  That game will be for all the marbles to win the SEC West and go to the conference championship game, while also keeping Auburn's playoff hopes alive.

It's safe to say that Auburn will not be up for this game at all as it steps out of conference to play Louisiana-Monroe.  The bigger concern will be keeping everyone healthy so that they will have all hands on deck against Alabama next week.  That means the starters are likely to get pulled early.  Winning and staying healthy is the priority, not winning by more than 37 points to cover this massive spread.

We saw Auburn in a similar spot earlier this season.  The Tigers were coming off a huge game against Clemson in their opener, and they proceeded to lay an absolute egg against Mercer at home the next week.  The Tigers only won that game 24-10 as 40-point favorites.  I think that result alone against an FCS opponent lets you know that Louisiana-Monroe is more than capable of staying within 37 points of Auburn this week.

And Louisiana-Monroe is much better than Mercer.  I have been impressed with the Warhawks this season.  They sit at 4-6 on the year but haven't been blown out yet.  In fact, their largest defeat has come by 11 points this season.  They only lost 29-37 at Memphis as 27.5-point dogs earlier this season to show what they are capable of.

Plus, Louisiana-Monroe gets two full weeks to rest and prepare for Auburn after last playing on November 4th and having their bye last week.  We last saw them come through with one of their best performances of the season, a 52-45 home win as 8-point dogs against Appalachian State.  That's a very good App State team and their only loss in Sun Belt play thus far this season.  And Appalachian State only lost 10-31 at Georgia earlier this season.

The Warhawks boast a high-powered offense that is putting up 37.0 points, 476 yards per game and 6.7 yards per play this season against teams that only give up 29.5 points, 407 yards per game and 5.8 per play.  It's a balanced attack that averages 194 rushing yards and 281 passing yards per game.  The Warhawks certainly have the offense to score on this Auburn defense and keep them within the number.

Plays against any team (AUBURN) - off a blowout upset win by 21 or more points as an underdog, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a losing record are 42-15 (73.7%) ATS since 1992.  The Warhawks are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  The Tigers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four non-conference games. 

Auburn is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games as a favorite of 20 or more points.  College football underdogs of 30 or more points this season alone are 57-23 ATS.  Bet Louisiana-Monroe Saturday.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 18, 2017
Virginia vs Miami-FL
Virginia
+19½ -110 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

25* ACC GAME OF THE YEAR on Virginia +19.5

The Miami Hurricanes are in an awful spot here.  This is the perfect time to 'sell high' on them and 'buy low' on the Virginia Cavaliers.  The stock couldn't be higher on Miami right now, while the stock couldn't be much lower on Virginia.  That's why I believe we are getting too many points here with the Cavaliers catching 19.5 points against the Hurricanes.

Miami is coming off its two biggest wins of the season.  The Hurricanes thumped Virginia Tech 28-10 at home to seal the ACC Coastal Division title.  Then they beat Notre Dame 41-8 last week to keep their national title hopes alive.  Now they have come out as the No. 3 ranked team in the playoff rankings.

With that ranking comes expectations that they cannot live up to.  And it also comes with national media attention that can take the focus away from 18, 19 and 20-year old kids.  Malik Rosier has been on ESPN doing interviews, as has head coach Mark Richt, and it's just a major distraction that they don't need.  It's safe to say I think this sets up perfectly for them to come out flat against Virginia this week.

Conversely, Virginia has lost three of its last four coming in.  A couple of them were bad looks with a 10-41 loss to Boston College and a 14-31 loss to Pitt.  But they rebounded and clinched bowl eligibility with a 40-36 win over a very good Georgia Tech team.  It's was a huge accomplishment for Bronco Mendenhall to get his team to a bowl game in his second season.  And as expected, they fell flat last week with a 21-38 road loss at Louisville.

Now, with a chance to knock off the No. 3 team in the country, the Cavaliers will be back to being 100% focused for this game.  We've already seen the Cavaliers pull off a huge upset on the road this season.  They went into Boise State and won 42-23 as 13.5-point dogs earlier this season.  That win looks even better now. Mendenhall will have his team ready to battle Miami for four quarters Saturday.

After back-to-back blowout wins over Virginia Tech and Notre Dame, the betting public is quick to forget how lucky the Hurricanes are to still be undefeated.  They won four straight games by 8 points or less against North Carolina, Syracuse, Georgia Tech and Florida State.  They snatched victory from the jaws of defeat with late scores in the closing seconds against both Georgia Tech and FSU.  

The Hurricanes have been extremely fortunate in the turnover department to aid these recent victories.  They have forced at least four turnovers in four consecutive games, and I don't expect that streak to continue this week.  They forced four turnovers against both Syracuse (27-19) and UNC (24-19) yet still had to fight tooth and nail to win both games.  Virginia has been good with taking care of the football, committing two or fewer turnovers in all but one game.  They have just 12 turnovers in 10 games this season.

I also like the fact that his is an early 12:00 EST kickoff.  Miami played a night game against Notre Dame last week, and it was a tremendously rowdy atmosphere.  The fans should still be rowdy, but it will be nothing like it was for that night game against the Fighting Irish.  The home-field advantage won't be nearly as strong for this one.

Plays against favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (MIAMI) - after eight or more consecutive straight up wins, a top-level team (80% wins or better) playing a good team (60% to 80%) are 47-17 (73.4%) ATS since 1992.  Plays against a home team (MIAMI) - after going under the total by 21 or more points total in their last three games, a top-level team (80% wins or better) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 23-6 (79.3%) ATS since 1992.  

The underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.  The Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in their last six trips to Miami.  Mark Richt is 2-11 ATS in home games after playing two straight home games in all games he has coached.  The Hurricanes have been home for three weeks now getting nothing but pats on the back, especially all week leading up to this game.  I think they get a bigger fight than they bargained for from Mendenhall and company this weekend.  Bet Virginia Saturday.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 18, 2017
LSU vs Tennessee
LSU
-15½ -110 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

15* CFB Saturday Big Chalk BLOWOUT on LSU -15.5

I called for the LSU Tigers to be a great team to back as soon as they lost to Troy.  My prediction has certainly come through as they have gone 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in their five games since.  I've backed them in three of those games and am mad I passed up the other two games.  I won't make that mistake this week.  I'll lay the wood on LSU as 15.5-point road favorites over the hapless Tennessee Vols.

The turnaround started with a 17-16 win at Florida.  They then won 27-23 at home over Auburn as 6-point dogs, and that win looks better and better each week.  They won 40-24 at Ole Miss as 6.5-point favorites.  The Tigers gave Alabama a fight and actually outgained them, but lost 10-24 while covering the 21-point spread.  Then they won 33-10 over Arkansas as 19-point favorites, impressively avoiding a letdown off the Alabama game.  

LSU still has a shot to win 10 games this season, which would be a nice accomplishment in Ed Orgeron's first season, so I expect them to stay determined and focused this week and through their bowl game.  They will feel zero shame in putting it on Tennessee this week and kicking the Vols while they're down.  And, boy are the Vols down.

Tennessee has gone 1-5 in its last six games overall.  The only win came out of conference against Southern Miss at home, and the Vols were fortunate to win that game because they only managed 210 total yards and were outgained by 69 yards by the Golden Eagles.  They have lost three times by 33-plus points during this stretch, including their 17-50 loss at Missouri last week that was the last straw for head coach Butch Jones.

Jones has now been fired as the Vols sit at 4-6 on the season and unlikely to even make a bowl game, mainly because they aren't going to pull off this upset against LSU.  That leaves the job to Brady Hoke.  Tennessee is already losing commits in the wake of the Jones firing, and the young players on this team who were expecting Jones to be their coach for their careers here are certainly questioning their decisions.  I just don't like the state of this program at all right now, and it's time to keep fading away.

Tennessee is managing just 13.2 points and 279.2 yards per game and giving up 34.3 points and 452.5 yards per game in conference play.  The Vols have been gashed defensively against the run, giving up 433 rushing yards to Missouri last week and 257 rushing yards per game and 5.5 per carry on the season.  That makes this a great matchup for LSU, which rushes for 209 yards per game and 4.9 per carry this season.

Tennessee is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games after allowing 300 or more rushing yards last game.  LSU is 8-1 ATS off two straight conference games over the past two seasons.  The Tigers are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 road games after two consecutive games where they forced one or fewer turnovers.  The road team is 5-0-2 ATS in the last seven meetings.  The Tigers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four trips to Knoxville.

Plays against home underdogs (TENNESSEE) - poor offensive team (4.2 to 4.8 YPP) against an average defense (4.8 to 5.6 YPP) after 7+ games, after being outgained by 175+ total yards in their previous game are 30-7 (81.1%) ATS over the last 10 seasons.  Roll with LSU Saturday.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 18, 2017
Purdue vs Iowa
Purdue
+9 -105 at betonline
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

20* Big Ten GAME OF THE WEEK on Purdue +9

The spot couldn't be much worse for the Iowa Hawkeyes.  They are coming off back-to-back games against the two best teams in the Big Ten in Ohio State and Wisconsin.  They used a lot both mentally and physically in those two games, and I just don't think they will have much left in the tank for Purdue this week.

It was clear Iowa found lightning in a bottle against Ohio State.  That performance was the aberration and the outlier.  Iowa came back last week and managed just 66 total yards against Wisconsin.  Yes, they scored 14 points, but both were defensive touchdowns.  They lost 14-38 as their defense was manhandled by Wisconsin's offensive line.  Going up against a big, bruising team like Wisconsin will take its toll on an opponent.

I think Purdue comes into this game undervalued after losing four of its last five.  All four losses have come by 10 points or less to some quality teams, including road losses at Wisconsin (9-17) and Northwestern (13-23).  They also had a 12-14 loss at Rutgers in which they outgained the Scarlet Knights by 257 yards.  They also lost 24-25 at home to Northwestern after giving up a late score in the final seconds.

But sitting at 4-6, and with a very winnable home game against Indiana on deck, the Purdue Boilermakers will be 'all in' for their final two games to try and make a bowl game.  After Saturday's loss to Northwestern, Jeff Brohm challenged his players, saying that anyone who didn't want to buy in could turn in their pads.  Monday, he was asked if any players had done so.

"Not as far as I know," Brohm said. "I think everybody will respond. Any time you lose, it's tough. ... but it's a big learning experience. We definitely have had plenty of those.  This is an important week for us. If you don't come ready to play (vs. Iowa), it could be a very big challenge."

Purdue's been more conservative early in games recently, Brohm said, trying to establish a running game. But those days might be over, with Brohm saying Purdue would likely be more aggressive early at Iowa.

"We have to come out on the attack," he said. "If we do some out on the short end, I don't want it to be because we didn't throw enough punches."

Part of that attack may be using receiver Jared Parks some at quarterback.  He is the team's No. 2 quarterback behind Elijiah Sindelar, who didn't practice Tuesday to rest from getting 60 pass attempts and taking numerous hits, while Sparks took the first-team reps.

“They just wanted me to get some more reps,” said Sparks, who was wearing a gold No. 12 jersey to identify the quarterbacks. “They decided to sit Elijah out today to give him some rest. He’ll be back this week.”

Sparks had a career day against Northwestern, catching 11 balls for 130 yards.  Just having him at quarterback with his athletic ability for a few plays would be an added dimension to the offense.  I really think Brohm is going to pull out all the stops this week, which should include a few trick plays that Iowa hasn't seen yet.

Last year, Purdue scored 35 points and amassed 504 total yards on Iowa's defense.  And this offense is much better than last year under the guidance of Brohm, who has already turned Purdue into a respectable football program.  And the defense has made major strides this year, giving up just 19.3 points per game against teams who average 29.6 points per game, holding opponents to 10.3 points per game below their season average.

While Purdue is outgaining teams by 24 yards per game on the season and only getting outgained by 2 yards per game against conference opponents, Iowa is getting outgained by 38 yards per game on the season and by 82 yards per game in conference play.  It's pretty clear to me that Purdue is the better of these two teams when you look at the numbers, and we're getting 9 points with the Boilermakers.  It's a great spot for Purdue fighting for a bowl, too, while it's an awful spot for Iowa coming off those two heavyweight matchups.

Purdue is 6-0 ATS in road games off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference opponent over the past three seasons.  The Boilermakers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine road games off a loss.  Purdue is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 road games overall.  The Boilermakers are 10-2-2 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  The road team is a perfect 7-0 ATS in the last seven meetings.  Take Purdue Saturday.

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